BMIE Market 23234
Chesterfield County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 47,465 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,916 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 17,156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±788 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 42,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,952 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $66,619 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,401 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $266,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23234 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +7.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +38.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -2.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 46–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23234. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 74.3 | 74 | 40% | +29.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.7 | 65 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 47.9 | 48 | 25% | +12.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 47,465 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,619 | 42 | 40% | +16.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 17,156 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.5 | 52 | 35% | +18.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.1 | 76 | 25% | +19.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 47,465 | 96 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,619 | 42 | 20% | +8.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.5 | 52 | 30% | +15.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 38.7 | 58 | 20% | +11.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (94)
By cuisine
American 17 · Latin American (other) 11 · Mexican 11 · Chicken / wings 9 · Burgers 7 · Bakery 6 · Seafood 6 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Caribbean 1 · Coffee 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Quick service 22 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 11 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 4 · Other 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| America's Best Wings | Casual dining · Bar | American · Chicken / wings | 6581 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Antonella Comida Centro Americana | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · American | 4720 Cronin Dr | open |
| Azteca Mexican Restaurant Azteca Mexican Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3001 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Bad As$ Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6101 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Bay Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 6099 Belmont Rd | open |
| Bella Italia Bella Italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 6407 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Blue Moon Event Center | Bar | 3900 Old Hopkins Rd | open | |
| Bocata Latin Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4725 Walmsley Blvd | open | |
| Breedlove's Seafood Rva | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5700 Route 1 | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4700 Jefferson Davis Highway | open |
| Captain D's Captain D's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4617 Jefferson Davis Highway | open |
| Caribbean Diamond Restaurant & Lounge | Bar | Caribbean | 4611 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Cheers Rva | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4810 Route 1 | open | |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5600 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Cosmic Candy | Dessert | Dessert | 4213 Martha Ln | open |
| Crab Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 3601 Terminal Ave | open |
| Dragon China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4008 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| Dulceria Minilandia LLC | Dessert | Dessert | 5700 Route 1 | open |
| DunkinDonuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 5400 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| East King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4634 Richmond Hwy | open |
| El Padrino Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | 4805 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open | |
| El Sol Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2601 Cogbill Rd | open |
| El Tio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4800 Richmond Hwy | open |
| El Tora Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 3900 Old Hopkins Rd | open | |
| Fortuna Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 4108 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| Full Gospel Tabernacle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4500 Turner Rd | open | |
| Gallo Pinto 2 Mex-CentroAmerican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3014 Jeferson Davis | open | |
| Golden Chicken and Bread Golden Chick | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Bakery | 3206 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Grandma's Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3825 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4801 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Joe's Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2616 Buford Ave | open | |
| Jus' Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6501A Iron Bridge Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4504 Richmond Hwy | open |
| KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 5412 Route 1 | open | |
| Kravings | Food truck | 3205 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3401 Richmond Hwy | open |
| La Buena Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4725 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| La Guelaguetza | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea | Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 4802 Rte 1 | open |
| La Pirraya Restaurant and Nightclub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3001 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open | |
| La Princesa Family Restaurant - مطعم الأميرة | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Halal / kosher | 5100 Rte 1 | open |
| La rumba night club Richmond va | Bar | 4644 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| La Rumba Restaurant Night Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4644 Jefferson Davis Highway | open | |
| LBJ's Soul Food Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6403 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4719 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| Loma bonita Metlatónoc | Quick service | Santa María | open | |
| Lucky Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4727 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| Lung wah | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6415 Iron Bridge Pl | open |
| Lupita Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5700 Route 1 | open |
| Maggianos Italian Grill Short Pump | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Italian | open | |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6403 Iron Bridge Pl | open |
| Mariscos El Barco Mariscos el barco bar and grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Latin American (other) | 4725 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4435 Commerce Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5925 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Melissa's Cake | Bakery | Bakery | 4610 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Mi Cocina Mi Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5700 Rte 1 | open |
| Mi Patria Restaurant Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) | 6019 Belmont Rd | open |
| Mr Submarine Mr. Submarine | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3205 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| New Satellite Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4000 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| New York Chicken and Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chicken / wings | 3203 Richmond Highway | open |
| North Chesterfield | Bar | German / Eastern European | 6500 Caymus Way | open |
| Ocean Crab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 5726 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Odama Construction Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4124 Meadowdale Blvd # A | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4152 meadowdale blvd | open |
| Patrick's | Bar | 5100 Route 1 | open | |
| Pino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4112 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5718 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Planet Cheverisimo Salamateco Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4707 Walmsley Blvd | open | |
| Pupuseria Mercedes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4000 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| Raise the Roost | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4700 Walmsley Blvd | open | |
| Ricas Minutas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6306 Route 1 | open | |
| Sam's Crab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 4100 Rte 1 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 4320 Commerce Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4320 Commerce Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4012 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | 4504 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open | |
| Tacos Mexico Tacos Mexico Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4108 Rte 1 | open |
| Tacos Sabor Guerrerense | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4810 US-1 | open |
| Taqueria Isabel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4950 Rte 1 | open |
| Taqueria La Rosa De Guadalupe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3408 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Taqueria Mr. Takos #1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 6116 Iron Bridge Rd | open | |
| Tasty's Chicken & Bread | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Bakery | 4140 Meadowdale Blvd | open |
| TaylorMade Sweetz | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6525 Iron Bridge Pl | open |
| Tienda Joana | Other | Sandwiches | 5746 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Traditionz Smokehouse Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4810 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Victory Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4303 Commerce Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 6420 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 5937 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5700 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7030 Iron Bridge Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4507 Jefferson Davis Highway | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5620 Hopkins Rd | open |
| Wing Stop Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 4725 Walmsley Blvd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4004 Meadowdale Blvd. | open |
| M & A Auto Motors Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3621 Richmond Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 46 | 44 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 37 | 37 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 33 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 37 | 30 | 13 | 17 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 18 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 28 | 9 | 19 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 31 | 9 | 22 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 36 | 12 | 24 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 43 | 38 | 13 | 24 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 44 | 35 | 12 | 22 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 46 | 38 | 12 | 25 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 46 | 38 | 13 | 25 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 45 | 39 | 13 | 25 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 35 | 12 | 22 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 21 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 53 | 40 | 15 | 23 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 51 | 36 | 12 | 23 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 35 | 14 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 51 | 38 | 14 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 43 | 18 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 43 | 21 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 53 | 46 | 20 | 24 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 53 | 46 | 22 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 44 | 20 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 45 | 22 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 43 | 17 | 26 | — | — | NAICS2022 |