BMIE Market 23860
Prince George County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 31,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,113 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 31,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,050 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $62,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,058 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $206,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 45.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23860 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -4.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +21.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 47 (range 44–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23860. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 66.9 | 67 | 40% | +26.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.0 | 46 | 35% | +16.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 45.0 | 45 | 25% | +11.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 31,404 | 90 | 40% | +35.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,141 | 34 | 40% | +13.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,113 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.3 | 21 | 35% | +7.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.3 | 55 | 25% | +13.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 31,404 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,141 | 34 | 20% | +6.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.3 | 59 | 50% | +29.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.3 | 21 | 30% | +6.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 21.6 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (89)
By cuisine
American 30 · Burgers 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 8 · Seafood 8 · Asian 6 · Sandwiches 6 · BBQ 5 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 20 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advansix | Bar | 905 E Randolph Rd | open | |
| AJ’s Bistro Manila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian · American | 230 S 15th Ave | open |
| America's Best Wings - Hopewell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5201 Plaza Dr | open | |
| Anchor Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 307 S 15th Ave | open |
| Asian American Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 101 E Randolph Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5113 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Blackwells | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers · American | 3100 Jackson Farm Rd | open |
| Boathouse Restaurant Hopewell, Va | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | open | |
| Boddie-Noell Enterprises Hardee's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers · American | 2915 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Bojangles Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3519 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Brew and Blossom Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 101 S Main St | open |
| Btj Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3001 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5203 Oaklawn Boulevard | open |
| Captain D's Captain D's | Quick service | Seafood · American | 3911 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Carter's Courthouse Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 224 N Main St | open |
| Chanello's Pizza Chanello's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 906 Crossings Blvd | open |
| City Point Ice Cream & Burgers | Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 238 E Broadway | open |
| Cook Out Cook Out | Quick service | 5105 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| CrabMan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1202 Arlington Rd | open |
| Cripple Creek BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 103 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | Dq Grill & Chill Restaurant 5201 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 5111 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Dockside Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 700 Jordan Point Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2320 Oaklawn Blvd Ste A | open |
| Dragon Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 306 Cavalier Sq | open |
| El Gordo Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 402 N 6th Ave | open |
| El Nopal Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4118 Oaklawn Blvd # 6514 | open |
| Espetus Churrascaria Brazilian Steak House Espetus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · BBQ | 1686 MARKET ST | open |
| Family Pizza And Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5201 Plaza Dr | open |
| Good Ship Brewing & Eatery | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 204 E Cawson St | open | |
| Gun Cotton Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 238 E Broadway | open |
| Hardee’s Hardee's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 310 W RANDOLPH Rd | open |
| Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4100 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| Hopewell Quick Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 113 Hopewell St | open |
| J and A Latino Market And Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 226 E Poythress St | open |
| Jamaica Vybz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3401 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| K & L Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 5 Cavalier Sq | open |
| Kacha Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5230 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Kanpai of Japan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian | 5303 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3011 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| L G Grillz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1211 Arlington Rd Unit A | open | |
| Legacy Roasting Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 325 Library St | open |
| Leones Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5234 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Lillie Mae's Kitchen | Other | Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1202 Arlington Rd | open |
| Lisa's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 236 E Broadway | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 3512 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Long John Silver's | Quick service | 3001 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| Lrz Legacy Scrubs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 333 Cavalier Sq | open | |
| Main Street Cafe Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 224 N Main St | open | |
| Marvin's Tacos | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2313 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3309 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5214 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Mr. B's 15th Street Cafe | Café | Coffee | 106 S 15th Ave | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 5107 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Omega Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 120 E City Point Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5113 oaklawn blvd | open |
| Partners II Partners II Pizza, Aberdeen and Braelinn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3119 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5105 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Rosa's Italian Ristorante Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4098 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5107 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Saucy's Barbecue in Hopewell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 207 E City Point Rd | open |
| Shoney's Family Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 5310 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Son's Seafood & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 710 W City Point Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 300 A Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 906 Crossings Boulevard Unit F | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 601 W Randolph Rd | open |
| SunsetCove Prince George | Bar · Brewery / taproom | Seafood | 1100 Jordan Point Rd | open |
| Sushi Y | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 264 E Broadway | open |
| Taco Bout It | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 2320 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Tacos Chikis Fiesta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Italian | 2320 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Tcb Management Company, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 221 S 15th Ave | open | |
| The Boathouse at City Point The Boathouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 701 W Randolph Rd | open |
| The Hometown Brewer | Brewery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | 424 S 15th Ave | open | |
| The Salty Siren | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood · American | 700 Jordan Point Rd | open |
| Top's China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5236 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Traditionz Express | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 323 Cavalier Square | open |
| Tropics Island Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 106 S 15th Ave | open |
| VA Cheers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| Verde | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Vegetarian | 220 E City Point Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 5105 Plaza Dr | open |
| Waves Sandwich Company | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 224 N Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5103 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| What the Cup | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2701 Oaklawn Blvd | open |
| Wing Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 323 Cavalier Sq | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service | 5310 Oaklawn Blvd | open | |
| Eastern Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5215 Plaza Dr | closed |
| Paddy’s Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 239 E Broadway | closed |
| Pasta Diner | Casual dining | American | 106 S 15th Ave | closed |
| Sub Hut | Other | Sandwiches | 332 Maryland Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 47 | 44 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 39 | 36 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 46 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 49 | 47 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 45 | 42 | 26 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 47 | 44 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 46 | 42 | 23 | 19 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 45 | 42 | 22 | 20 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 42 | 39 | 19 | 18 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 40 | 37 | 16 | 19 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 45 | 41 | 18 | 20 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 49 | 42 | 21 | 18 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 53 | 46 | 24 | 18 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 50 | 45 | 24 | 18 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 54 | 50 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 55 | 51 | 26 | 24 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 52 | 48 | 21 | 25 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 52 | 48 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 56 | 50 | 22 | 26 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 50 | 47 | 21 | 23 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 50 | 47 | 21 | 23 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 47 | 44 | 21 | 21 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 49 | 45 | 21 | 23 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 47 | 23 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 44 | 22 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 46 | 24 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 51 | 47 | 22 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 53 | 50 | 21 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 51 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 49 | 45 | 19 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23875 | 3.5 mi | 16 | 2023 |