BMIE Market 24083

Botetourt County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,948 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±563 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,785 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,587 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,172 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$109,207 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,810 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±66 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$391,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,073 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 24083
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	61.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+157.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 16–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 24083. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.4	70	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.7	51	35%	+17.8
Market Momentum Score	71.7	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,948	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	109,207	86	40%	+34.5
Households (ACS)	1,785	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	35%	+17.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	36.4	15	25%	+3.8
Population (ACS)	4,948	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	109,207	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	157.1	89	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bahama Sno Shack	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	1691 Roanoke Rd	open
Ballast Point Brewing -Daleville	Brewery / taproom		555 International Pkwy	open
Bellacinos Pizza and Grinders Bellacino's Pizza and Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1176 Roanoke Rd	open
Big Lick Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	33 Cedar Plateau Way	open
Blue Collar Joe's	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1171 Roanoke Rd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5 Kingston	open
CL Asia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	36 Kingston Dr	open
Crooked Shoreline	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 Cedar Ridge Dr	open
Cupcake Cottage	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1805 Roanoke Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	180 Town Center St 180 Town Center St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	50 Market Center Way	open
Donnie D’s Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	70 Market Center Way	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	133 Market Center Way	open
Edwards Investments Of Va Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 Kingston Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	133 Market Center Way Ste 4	open
Lentini's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1396 Roanoke Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	133 Commons Pkwy	open
Mill Mountain Coffee and Tea Mill Mountain Coffee & Tea - Daleville	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	20 Kingston Dr	open
Moo Moo's Delights	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1432 Roanoke Rd	open
Pancho Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	412 Roanoke Rd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1783 Roanoke Rd	open
Rodeo Chico	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	200 Town Center Street	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1787 Roanoke Rd	open
The Fishin' Pig-Daleville The Fishin' Pig - Farmville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	48 Market Ridge Lane	open
Three Li'l Pigs Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	120 Kingston Dr	open
Tizzone Wood-Fired Kitchen & Wine Bar	Bar	Pizza · Italian	90 Town Ctr	open
TJ's Java & Sno	Café	Coffee	24 Azalea Rd	open
Town Center Tap House	Bar · Casual dining		90 Town Ctr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5 Kingston Drive	open
Yo-Mian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	36 Kingston Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	9	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	20	9	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	20	9	7	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 24083. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
24077	3.1 mi	—
24020	3.6 mi	—
24019	4.6 mi	38	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.