BMIE Market 25419

Berkeley County, West Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,201 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,519 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,251 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,063 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 25419
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+450.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 25419. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. West Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 313, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.9	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.8	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	85.9	86	25%	+21.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,201	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	89,284	73	40%	+29.0
Households (ACS)	5,215	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.7
Population (ACS)	13,201	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	89,284	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	450	98	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 5 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	66 Cordial Ct	open
Cooperate WL	Café		199 Country Ln	open
Cottle Christi Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3247 Vineyard Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	52 Vantage View Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee	42 Vantage View Dr	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	88 Corporate Blvd Ste C	open
Giga Retails Incorporated	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42 Vantage View Dr	open
IL Nonno Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9460 Williamsport Pike	open
Jakki's Station Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	65B Cordial Ct	open
King's New York Pizza - Falling Waters King’s New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	44 Worchester Dr	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		30 Landis Ct	open
Napoli, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Forevergreen Dr	open
Ovidio's New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9460 Williamsport Pike	open
Paesano Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9460 Williamsport Pike	open
Red Lantern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	44 Worchester Dr	open
Riverbend Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3247 Vineyard Rd	open
Rocky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	26 Forevergreen Dr	open
Sandstone Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9687 Williamsport Pike	open
Spring Mills Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5759 Williamsport Pike	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8368 Williamsport Pike	open
Summer Shack at Riverbend	Dessert		Lot 23-3 Cindy's Curve - Riverbend Park	open
Tj's Place Inc	Bar · Casual dining	American	28 Forevergreen Dr	open
Twistedoughs	Bakery · Food truck · Casual dining	Bakery · American	1684 Vineyard Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5332 Hammonds Mill Road	open
Whiskey Mill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Jordyn's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	44 Worchester Dr Ste F	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	—	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	—	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	6	4	—	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	7	5	—	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	—	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 25419. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21795	3.3 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.