BMIE Market 25621

Mingo County, West Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,739 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,155 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,048 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,991 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$85,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 25621
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	41.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	26 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	33 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	20 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 25621. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. West Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 313, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	32.8	33	40%	+13.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	20.1	20	35%	+7.1
Market Momentum Score	25.0	25	25%	+6.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,739	42	40%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	51,563	17	40%	+6.8
Households (ACS)	827	46	20%	+9.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.8	21	25%	+5.4
Population (ACS)	1,739	42	20%	+8.4
Median household income (ACS)	51,563	17	20%	+3.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	30%	+2.6
20-year restaurant growth	-37.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Quick service 4 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blue Moon Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	Route 52	open
Giovanni's Pizza of Gilbert, WV Giovanni's Fairborn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Pizza	101 Main St	open
Giovanni’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	100 Main St	open
Hatfield & McCoy Moonshine Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		297 James Ave	open
Hometown Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	202 Larry Joe Harless Dr	open
J-R's Pizza & Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2924 Route 52	open
KO Kreations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	33 US-52	open
LC's Cookout	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2567 US-52	open
Los Amigos	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	RR 52	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	796 Larry Joe Harless Dr	open
Mineshaft 13	Casual dining · Bar	American	20 Mountaineer Hwy	open
PT12 (Pizzamingo & Trail 12 BBQ)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · BBQ	132 US-52	open
Sippin’ on Luxe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2642 US-52	open
Subway	Quick service		US Highway 52, #1775	open
Tudor's Biscuit World Tudor's Biscuit World	Quick service	American · Breakfast	34 WV-80	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	1	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 25621. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
25611	2.5 mi	—
24851	4.4 mi	2	2016
25635	4.8 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.