BMIE Market 28120

Gaston County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,807 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,231 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,234 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$321,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+118.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+118.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.5	74	35%	+25.7
Market Momentum Score	75.4	75	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,805	86	40%	+34.3
Median household income (ACS)	78,231	60	40%	+23.9
Households (ACS)	10,241	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.3	75	25%	+18.7
Population (ACS)	25,805	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	78,231	60	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	118.2	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 14 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
127 Mainst Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		127 S Main St	open
Billy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1127 W Charlotte Ave	open
Billy's BBQ and Family Restaurant Billy's American Restaurants - Warzywnicza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	1127 W Charlotte Ave	open
Bolton's Curbside Cookery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	108 S Main St	open
BrightStar Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	205 Madora St	open
Catawba Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	104 W Charlotte Ave	open
Chicken Bucket	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	547 Highland St	open
Chicken King Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	130 W Charlotte Ave	open
China Two	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	595 Highland St	open
Coffee Origin	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	613 S Main St	open
Dagwood Del's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	226 S Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	553 S. Main St.	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	720 S Main St	open
El Valle Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	791 W Charlotte Ave	open
Firehawk Brewpub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	309 N Main St	open
Georgia Pacific	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Buckeye Dr	open
halfway cooks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		122 S Main St	open
J.R. Cash's Grill & Bar J.R. Cash's Grill and Bar at Big Water Marina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 Marina Village Dr	open
JackBeagle's Mount Holly	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	127 S Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		703 Tuckaseege Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	613 Highland St	open
Local Logic	Bar		121 S Main St	open
Lowesville Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1610 NC-16	open
Lucky Dog Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		245 Dutchmans Meadow Dr	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	615 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	704 S Main St	open
Mount Holly Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	793 W Charlotte Ave	open
Mount Holly Food Truck Friday	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		South Msin Street	open
Mount Holly Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1118 S Main St	open
Mr D's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	104 Rankin Ave	open
Muddy River Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		250 N Main St	open
One19 North Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	119 N Main St	open
One19 On the Go	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 N Main St	open
Papa Sammy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	140 E Central Ave	open
Passion's Cafe & Pastry	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	793 W Charlotte Ave	open
Plato Pronto	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 Henderson St	open
Queen Bee Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	108 S Main St	open
Sake Express II	Quick service	Japanese · Asian	349 W Charlotte Ave	open
Samvay's Wings & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · Asian	303 N Main St	open
Seafood Boil Nc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	114 E Central Ave	open
Smoke and Barrel Cigar Bar and Lounge	Bar		121 E Charlotte Ave	open
South Main Kitchen And Tavern	Bar		128 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	599 Highland Street	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	W Franklin Blvd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 Tuckaseege Road	open
The Dog Pound	Bar		22 Bite My Butt St	open
The Holland Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 N Main St	open
The StagsHead Tavern	Bar		6000 Malden Ct	open
The Summit Beer Shop	Bar		122 S Main St	open
Traust Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		128 S Main St	open
Vasileio's Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	200 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	15	11	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	7	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	9	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	8	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	7	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	8	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	21	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	20	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	21	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	8	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	9	12	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28164	4.2 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.