BMIE Market 28164

Gaston County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,874 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,483 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,085 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,126 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$310,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,771 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28164
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+61.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+61.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+320.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28164. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.7	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.0	74	35%	+25.9
Market Momentum Score	91.6	92	25%	+22.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,874	79	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	79,728	62	40%	+24.7
Households (ACS)	6,483	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	61.5	86	35%	+30.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.5	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	16,874	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	79,728	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	61.5	93	50%	+46.3
10-year restaurant growth	61.5	86	30%	+25.9
20-year restaurant growth	320	97	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 7 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 9 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Star Hot Dog Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hot dogs	111 S Main St	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	541 Hwy 27 South	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 S Hwy 27	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	190 E Dallas Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	206 Hwy 27 S	open
Fit N Lit Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	121 E Dallas Rd	open
Friendly's of Stanley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	119 N Main St	open
Gatherings Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	524 North Carolina 27 South	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	441 Highway 27 S	open
Hunan To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	509 NC-27	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6424 Old Plank Road	open
Langberry Inn and Pub	Bar		7709 Sedgebrook Dr E	open
Main Street Social	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	118 S Main St	open
Morgan's Dairy Bar & Calf-A	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	194 E Dallas Rd	open
Oliv+Oak Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	301 NC-27	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	700 S Main St	open
Pete's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	124 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	511 S. Hwy. 27 Gaston	open
Stanley Kitchen Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	106 Mariposa Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	107 E Dallas Rd	open
Sweet Shananigans	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	116 S Main St	open
Tacos y Tortas El Gordo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	801 S Main St	open
Taqueria Los Lara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	401 NC-27	open
The WoodShed Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	210 S Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	414 Hwy 27 South	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	16	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	21	7	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	21	6	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28164. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28006	3.4 mi	1	1995
28120	4.2 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.