BMIE Market 28594

Carteret County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,934 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,735 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,773 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	60.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$603,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64,842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28594
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	38.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+118.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28594. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.9	64	40%	+25.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.9	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	85.6	86	25%	+21.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,934	57	40%	+22.6
Median household income (ACS)	89,773	73	40%	+29.2
Households (ACS)	1,940	61	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	61.0	7	25%	+1.9
Population (ACS)	3,934	57	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,773	73	20%	+14.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	118.2	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (62)

By cuisine

Dessert 9 · Seafood 9 · American 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Asian 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 21 · Dessert 13 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4J's Cafe & Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8802 Reed Dr	open
Ballyhoo's Island Sports Grill	Bar		140 Fairview Dr	open
BAR 1957	Bar		8700 Emerald Dr	open
Beachside Frozen Cocktails & More	Bar · Dessert		205 Islander Dr	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8204 Emerald Dr Unit 2	open
Burger Boy of Emerald Isle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	8700 Emerald Dr Unit 22	open
Carolina Wine Mixer	Bar		8700 Emerald Dr Ste 20	open
Charles R Tucker Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8700 Emerald Dr	open
ChowdaHeads	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7801 Emerald Dr	open
Circle Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	7702 Emerald Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8307 Emerald Dr	open
El Zarape	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8802 Reed Dr	open
Emerald Club	Bar		8102 Emerald Dr	open
Emerald Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	301 Mangrove Blvd	open
Emerald Isle Polish Water Ice	Dessert		7702 Emerald Dr Ste D	open
Fish Hut Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	301 Mangrove Dr	open
Flip Flops Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	129 Bogue Inlet Dr	open
Flipperz Family Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	311 Mangrove Dr	open
Gaffer's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9106-A Coast Guard Rd	open
Giovanni's Brooklyn Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	8700 Emerald Dr Suite 25	open
Great Wall \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8201 Emerald Dr	open
Island Time Tavern	Bar		8700 Emerald Dr Ste 24b	open
Isle Fry Seafood	Dessert	Dessert	7801 Emerald Dr	open
Jackie's American Grille and Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		9106 Coast Guard Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	208 Bogue Inlet Dr Ste D & E	open
JT3’s Place	Bar		7330 Sound Dr	open
Kathryn's Bistro and Martini Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8002 Emerald Dr	open
Kilwins Kilwins	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	8802 Reed Dr	open
Kostas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	201 Islander Dr	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		3305 Emerald Dr	open
Lazzara's Pizza & Subs Lazzara's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza	9104 Coast Guard Rd	open
Lollipups Doggie Bakery & Boutique	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9104-D Coast Guard Rd	open
Michaelangelo's Pizza Michaelangelo's Pizza	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Pizza · Sandwiches	870 Emerald Dr	open
Michaelangelo's Pizza & Subs Michaelangelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	8700 Emerald Dr	open
Mountain Brook Vineyards at Emerald Isle	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		201 Islander Dr A1	open
Muttigans	Coffee shop	Coffee	8101 Emerald Dr	open
Outer Banks Boil Company Outer Banks Boil Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	8700 Emerald Dr	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7902 Emerald Dr	open
Plaza Mexico Restaurant Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Seafood	140 Fairview Dr	open
Rucker Johns Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	8700 Emerald Dr	open
Shark's Den Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		8700 Emerald Dr Ste 16	open
Sippin Swirls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	8101 Emerald Dr	open
Snapperz Grill & Steam Bar of Emerald Isle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	8106 Emerald Dr	open
Sol Bowls	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	8802 Reed Dr #3	open
Stir It Up Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	8700 Emerald Dr Emerald Plantation Shopping Mall	open
Sunset Slush of Emerald Isle & Ice Cream Sunset Slush of Emerald Isle	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	101 Bogue Inlet Dr	open
Surf's Up Grill & Bar	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	102 Bogue Inlet Dr	open
Surf’s Up at Bogue Inlet Pier	Casual dining · Bar		100 Bogue Inlet Dr	open
Sweet Cakes by Cynthia	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7027 Emerald Dr	open
The Frosty Flounder	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	201 Mangrove Dr	open
The Growler Bar	Bar		200 Mallard Dr	open
The Perfect Lie Golf Bar	Bar		8002 Emerald Dr	open
The Trading Post; Southern Food & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8302 Emerald Dr	open
The Village Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	7802 Emerald Dr	open
Thirsty Surfer	Casual dining · Bar		325 Mangrove Dr	open
Torpedo Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean · Seafood	8921 Crew Dr	open
Traci's Beach Sweets	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	125 Purdie Dr	open
Village Beachmart	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9104 Coast Guard Rd	open
Village Ice Cream and Candies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9104 Coast Guard Rd	open
Viv's Fridge @ Emerald Isle Wine Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9102 Coast Guard Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8800 Crew Dr	open
Shepard Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	129 Bogue Inlet Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	9	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	10	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	10	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	11	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	11	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	15	10	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	9	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	10	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	17	11	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	23	20	14	3	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	22	18	12	3	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	13	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	23	19	13	—	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	23	20	13	—	5	3	NAICS2017
2022	27	24	14	3	7	3	NAICS2022
2023	26	24	13	4	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28594. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.