BMIE Market 28630
Caldwell County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,382 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,399 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,041 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,686 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $63,835 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,943 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $853 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $202,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 61.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28630 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 18–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28630. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 63.3 | 63 | 40% | +25.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.9 | 48 | 35% | +16.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.7 | 24 | 25% | +5.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,382 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,835 | 37 | 40% | +14.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,917 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -9.1 | 19 | 35% | +6.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.3 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,382 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,835 | 37 | 20% | +7.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 50% | +8.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -9.1 | 19 | 30% | +5.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (49)
By cuisine
American 12 · BBQ 6 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 5 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al's Diner | Casual dining | American | 47 Falls Ave | open |
| Ale Yeah Fyreside Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 440 S Main St | open | |
| Antojitos Mexicanos Karisma | Food truck | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2389 Connelly Springs Rd | open |
| Asian Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 249 River Bend Dr | open |
| Blondeez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4086 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Bojangles' Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4790 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Captain's Galley Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 4345 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Cherokee's Cake Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8 S Main St | open | |
| China King China King Super Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 309 N Main St | open |
| Chubby's of Granite Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 62 Falls Ave | open |
| City Grind | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 47 Falls Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 530 Dudley Shoals Road | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 31 Pinewood Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 3950 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Frankie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 265 River Bend Dr | open |
| Granite Falls Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 47 Duke St | open | |
| Hannah's BBQ South Hannah's BBQ South | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 31 Pinewood Rd | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 27 Pinewood Rd | open |
| Hayes Chemical Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6 Chestnut St | open | |
| Hog Wild Bar B Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2757 Connelly Springs Rd | open |
| Hong Kong Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4030 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Huffy's Soups Sandwiches and Creamery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 23 Falls Ave #3 | open |
| Jeff's Shave Ice Blasters | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 45 N Main St | open |
| Kendra's Bakery Creations | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 18 Park Square | open |
| Mazatlan Family Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 233 River Bend Dr d7 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 36 Pinewood Road | open |
| Nicole Lee Confections | Bakery | Bakery | 47 Falls Ave | open |
| Old Skool Burgers | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5731 millridge Rd | open |
| Pancho Villa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 31 Pinewood Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 305 N Main St | open |
| Patty Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 130 Duke St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3966 Hickory Blvd Caldwell | open |
| Popaw Jims C&S BBQ and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 10-A Falls Ave suite 4 | open |
| Sawmills Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · BBQ | 4166 US-321 A | open |
| Shadow Line Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2550 Shadow Line Ln | open | |
| Sigoni's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Italian · Dessert | 30 Crestview St | open |
| Sims Country Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 6160 Petra Mill Rd | open |
| Spicer's Hot Doggin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2771 Connelly Springs Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4763 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3950 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4780 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Sweet Frog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 239 River Bend Dr | open |
| Tacos Los Chiles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 119 Pinewood Rd | open |
| The electric cola cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Commerce St | open |
| The Fresh Depot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4086 Hickory Blvd | open |
| The New City BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 108 S Main St | open |
| Toyko Diner of Granite Falls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Japanese · American · Sushi · Asian | 223 River Bend Dr | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 4780 Hickory Blvd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4800 Hickory Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 22 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |