BMIE Market 28642

Yadkin County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,602 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,745 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,718 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,543 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$642 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$144,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28642
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	30 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28642. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	41.4	41	40%	+16.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	29.6	30	35%	+10.4
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,602	62	40%	+24.9
Median household income (ACS)	44,543	9	40%	+3.7
Households (ACS)	2,358	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.4	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	5,602	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	44,543	9	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 8 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1808 NC Highway 67	open
Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	1648 NC Highway 67	open
Benny's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · Mexican	1538 Nc-67	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1652 NC Highway 67	open
Breakfastime Jonesville Breakfastime	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1624 NC-67	open
Chateau jourdain	Winery / distillery / taproom		2406 Swan Creek Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1717 Nc Highway 67 I-77 & SR 67	open
Dodge City Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse		open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	411 N Bridge St WilcoHess	open
Dynamis Estate Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		1004 Highland Rd	open
El Dorado Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1538 NC-67	open
Garden Route Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	144 S Bridge St	open
Generations Casual Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	220 Winston Rd	open
Jerry's Snack Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2613 Swan Creek Rd	open
Kakorous Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		233 Winston Rd	open
Margarita's Mexican Cuisine & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	105 Valley Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1230 Hwy	open
Midnight Magdalena Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5109 Howell School Rd	open
Patty's Snack Bar	Casual dining	Burgers · American	124 N Bridge St	open
Real Del Monte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	105 Valley Dr	open
River Roast Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	442 N Bridge St	open
Roma Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	123 Valley Dr	open
Sixty-seven Pizza Co. Inc. At Jonesville	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1744 NC Highway 67	open
Southern sunrise kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 N Bridge St	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	5543 Highway 21	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1736 Highway 67	open
Terry's Cafe & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	5704 US-21 BUS	open
The Garden Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	315 River Rd	open
The Hotdog Boy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hot dogs	547 Winston Rd	open
The Twisted Squirrel	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	144 South Bridge St	open
The Wood Box BBQ & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	401 N Bridge St	open
Theos Italian and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	233 Winston Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1629 NC-67	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1630 NC Highway 67	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	21	13	8	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	19	11	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	23	23	15	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	17	9	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	13	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	20	12	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	11	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	17	11	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	13	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	8	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	10	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28642. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28621	3.9 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.