BMIE Market 28729

Henderson County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±770 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,424 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,413 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$321,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28729
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28729. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.3	60	40%	+24.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.4	65	35%	+22.9
Market Momentum Score	72.1	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,681	56	40%	+22.2
Median household income (ACS)	84,413	67	40%	+27.0
Households (ACS)	1,427	56	20%	+11.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	3,681	56	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	84,413	67	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 3 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Food truck 2 · Bar 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Asta Hospitality	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6577 Brevard Rd	open
Blue Ridge Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6336 Brevard Rd	open
Chelsea's Brickyard Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	470 Brickyard Rd	open
Dave's Dogs	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6540 Brevard Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	6482 Brevard Rd	open
Dutch Cupboard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6500 Brevard Rd	open
El Bronco Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	6488 Brevard Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6336 Brevard Rd	open
KAROLINA KREMES	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	96 Etowah Center Dr	open
Kimmy at the Depot	Food truck	American	97 Etowah Park Rd	open
S & B Fletcher Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6577 Brevard Rd	open
Sideways Farm & Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		62 Eade Rd	open
Taqueria Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	Frente al the salty landing, Brevard Rd	open
The Salty Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	6577 Brevard Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28729. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28759	4.3 mi	9	2023
28766	4.9 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.