BMIE Market 28791
Henderson County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,718 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,171 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,184 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $78,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 51.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,209 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $370,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,917 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28791 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +36.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +271.4% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 28–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28791. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.7 | 71 | 40% | +28.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.3 | 65 | 35% | +22.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.1 | 51 | 25% | +12.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,108 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,827 | 61 | 40% | +24.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,718 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 36.8 | 76 | 35% | +26.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.2 | 45 | 25% | +11.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,108 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,827 | 61 | 20% | +12.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -3.7 | 24 | 50% | +11.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 36.8 | 76 | 30% | +22.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (64)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 8 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Southern Cup | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 474 Lake Rugby Dr | open |
| Alykat Deli Subs and Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1201 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Baked | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 53 S Old Asheville Rd | open |
| Bay Breeze Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 1830 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Blackwater Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1715 Brevard Rd | open | |
| Bojangles' Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5697 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1232 Asheville Highway | open |
| Carolina Hot Tub Solutions Inc.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1840 Asheville Hwy | open | |
| China Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2111 Asheville Hwy Ste 8 | open | |
| Chrome Side Grill & Bakery Side | Bakery | Bakery | 5701 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Cognative Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 3771 Brevard Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5445 Asheville Hwy Ste 10 5445 Asheville Hwy Ste 10 | open |
| Davy Crockett’s Wild Scoop Ice Cream | Dessert · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2130 Brevard Rd | open |
| Dixie Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 1724 Brevard Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5445 Ashville Highway | open |
| DonRaven | Coffee shop | Coffee | 37 Maxwell Dr | open |
| Drop And Play | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 820 Fleming St Ste B | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 5420 Asheville Highway | open | |
| Favilla's New York Pizza Hendersonville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2111 Asheville Highway | open |
| Fortune Asian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1730 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6001 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Hardee's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1730 Asheville Hwy | open |
| HighTide Grill at SKYLARANNA Resort & SPA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1 Skylaranna Dr | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2400 Asheville Highway | open |
| Joey's New York Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 5829 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Kitchens of the South | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2570 Asheville Hwy | open |
| L Sierra Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1821 Asheville Hwy | open | |
| Lopez 3 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1751 Brevard Rd | open | |
| Los 3 Jalapenos Taqueria | Food truck | Mexican | 2120 Brevard Rd | open |
| Los 3 Jalapenos Taqueria Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1255 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Mai Vibes | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1712 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Mama Llamas and Co. | Dessert | 2024 Asheville Hwy | open | |
| Mariscos El Paso | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2111 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Mary's Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1971 Asheville Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5775 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Mercado Azteca Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2111 Asheville Hwy Ste A-2 | open | |
| Moe's Original BBQ Moe's Original BBQ-Bangor, ME | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1794 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Mountain Pie Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3400 Asheville Highway Sweet Too | open |
| New China Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1410 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Noah's Ark Coffee Company | Coffee shop | Coffee | 149 Old Quarry Rd | open |
| Nora's New York Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2111 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Papa's & Beer | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 1821 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Pelican's SnoBalls Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach | Dessert | Dessert | 2018 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Pi-Squared Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 1972 Haywood Rd | open |
| Pies By Di | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3632 Brevard Rd | open |
| Plaza Fiesta | Bakery | Bakery | 2111 Asheville Hwy Ste 10 | open |
| Postage Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1903 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Sol Y Luna | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1715 Brevard Rd | open |
| Sp Jamaican Jerk Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1971 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 45 Westside Village Road | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1828 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Taqueria Mactzil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5992 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Tater Babies Scratch Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2111 Asheville Hwy | open | |
| The Baker's Box | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1508 Asheville Hwy | open |
| The Book and Bee Cafe and Tea | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 795 Mountain Rd | open |
| The Brewery Experience | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 660 Britton Creek Dr | open | |
| The Silo Cookhouse at The Horse Shoe Farm | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 205 Horse Shoe Farm Dr | open |
| The Taproom at Monte's | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bar | Sandwiches | 2024 Asheville Hwy | open |
| The Ugly Mug | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 2024 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Tooley's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1729 Brevard Rd | open |
| Uncle Scott's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1735 Brevard Rd | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 6011 Asheville Hwy | open |
| Zen Hen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1794 Asheville Hwy | open | |
| G&w Flamez & Thangz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1971 Asheville Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 28 | 26 | 9 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 28 | 11 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |