BMIE Market 29054

Lexington County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,174 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,319 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,612 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$913 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$283,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,958 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29054
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 3–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29054. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.6	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	19.7	20	25%	+4.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,174	72	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	91,099	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	4,319	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.6	96	25%	+24.0
Population (ACS)	11,174	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	91,099	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Country Road Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	126 Shore Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4079 Augusta Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4329 Augusta Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2600 US 378	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	108 Main Street	open
Joey's Sub & Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	537 Main St	open
La Mesa La Mesa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	4456 Augusta Hwy	open
Lizard's Thicket Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4616 Augusta Hwy	open
Murphy's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3007 US-378	open
Murray Town Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		1428 Spring Hill Rd	open
Pizza Inn Blimpie America's Sub Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Pizza	2600 Highway 378	open
Price's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	408 Ervin Price Rd	open
Sara’s pupuseria y taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	2902 Priceville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4079-I Augusta Hwy	open
Sweet Swirls	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Dessert	1428 Spring Hill Rd	open
The Five4 Nutrition & Energy	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	344 Hampton St	open
The Lunch Box	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2120 Pond Branch Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29054. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29070	4.4 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.