BMIE Market 29070

Lexington County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,053 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,330 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,370 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$197,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	164.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29070
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+142.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+112.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29070. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.6	63	40%	+25.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.7	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	70.4	70	25%	+17.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,657	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	65,865	40	40%	+16.1
Households (ACS)	6,375	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.9	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	15,657	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	65,865	40	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.3	71	50%	+35.7
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	142.9	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 13 · Mexican 6 · Coffee 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 7 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelo's Greek and Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · Greek	333 Village Square Dr	open
Audrey & Pearl's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2289 Pond Branch Rd	open
Blimpie	Quick service		2289 Pond Branch Rd	open
Blimpie	Quick service		115 E Church St	open
Bucks Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Sandalwood Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	179 E Church St	open
Chatt & Chew	Restaurant (service type not stated)		327 E Columbia Ave	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	147 E Church St	open
Circle Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3280 Columbia Hwy	open
Cook Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	179 E Church St	open
Cookout Batesburg SC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		179 E Church St	open
County Line Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	3881 Columbia Hwy	open
Crossroads Cafe	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	3004 Fairview Rd	open
Cuatro Caminos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2920 Fairview Rd	open
Customz Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	333 W Columbia Ave	open
Driftwood Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	101 Sandalwood Rd	open
El Huarache Veloz Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	327 E Columbia Ave	open
Fairview Crossroads	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Fairview Road	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	143 E Church St	open
Hebrews Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	442 E Railroad Ave	open
Hill View Truck Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2656 Ben Franklin Rd	open
Hollow Creek Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		112 Rocky Ridge Rd	open
Hot Rod's Watering Hole	Bar · Casual dining		343 E Church St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3860 US-378	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3315 Columbia Highway	open
iCrave Café	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	108 Main St	open
John Gray Craft Beer & Wine	Bar		103 Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	123 E Columbia Ave	open
Lakeside Seafood And Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	3224 US-378	open
LMRTikiBar	Bar		101 Sandalwood Rd	open
Mel’s Bar LLC	Bar		343 E Church St	open
Mi Rancho Mi Rancho Aiken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	421 E Church St	open
Pond Branch Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2289B Pond Branch Rd	open
R and S Fish Market and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	214 E Church St	open
San Jose & Marina San Jose Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	3340 US-378	open
San Jose Mexican Restaurant San Jose Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	410 E Columbia Ave	open
Shealy's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	340 E Columbia Ave	open
Snow Cove & Snack Bar - Lake Murray	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	3340 Highway 378	open
Sonny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2920 Fairview Rd	open
South Shore Grill and Grocery	Casual dining · Bar	American	3106 US-378	open
Southern Thymes Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3881 Columbia Hwy	open
Southern Thymes Cafe of Leesville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10371 Columbia Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	200 E Church St	open
SW Shumpert Ice Cream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	4396 Calks Ferry Rd	open
Sweet Treat Central	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	104 Windjammer Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	175 E Church St	open
Truly Scrumptious Creamery	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	101-A Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	115 E Church St	open
Waterdog Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3319-3329 U.S. 378	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	139 E Columbia Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	6	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	7	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	15	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	15	10	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29070. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29054	4.4 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.