BMIE Market 29560

Florence County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,277 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,020 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,664 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,022 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,601 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$709 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$125,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	164.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29560
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29560. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.9	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.4	36	35%	+12.8
Market Momentum Score	46	46	25%	+11.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,277	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	46,601	11	40%	+4.5
Households (ACS)	5,164	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.8	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	12,277	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	46,601	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.3	62	50%	+30.8
10-year restaurant growth	-4.8	21	30%	+6.3
20-year restaurant growth	17.7	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 22 · BBQ 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 13 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 6 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Food truck 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		342 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Baker's Sweets Bistro & Bakery Baker's Sweets Bistro and Bakery - Lake City	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	129 E Main St	open
Barn House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1228 W Turbeville Hwy	open
Barnett's Gas & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	203 State Rd S-21-85	open
Barrineau Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2068 Barrineau Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	705 U S 52	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	705 U.S. 52	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	700 US Hwy 52	open
Boxcar Barnett's	Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	104 E Thomas St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	135 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	120 N Ron McNair Blvd	open
Cavella's Lounge	Bar		135 Deep River St	open
China King Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	246 Kelley St	open
Country Corner Kitchen	Quick service	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1928 New Zion Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	264 John Street	open
El San Jose of Lake City Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	275 W Main St	open
Fire Barrel Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	250 N Country Club Rd	open
Golden Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	147 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Green Frog Social House	Casual dining · Bar	American	118 E Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	115 S Ron Mcnair Blvd	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	218 N Ron McNair Blvd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2196 Lake City Hwy	open
Jarrito's Family Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	114 W Main St	open
Jazmin's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	114 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Jim's Place	Bar		4477 Huggins Rd	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		147 Ron McNair Blvd	open
Lavelle's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	359 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	203 N Ron Mcnair Blvd	open
Mookie’s Seafood & Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4685 Dewey Cox Rd	open
Pelican's SnoBalls Pelican's SnoBalls- Jax Beach	Dessert	Dessert	156 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Piggybacks BBQ and Catfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · American	116 Sauls St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	a/k/a, 125 N Ron McNair Blvd	open
Pizza Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 W Main St	open
Pizza Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1228 W Turbeville Hwy	open
PURE Sports Bar & Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		1436 Johnsonville Hwy	open
R-Daddy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	156 S Ronald McNair Blvd	open
Rabbits Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	145 Sauls St	open
Sakura Fusion \| Asian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Pizza	159 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Sauls St Sunrise	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	125 Sauls St	open
Shirley's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	342 S Ronald McNair Blvd	open
Shrimper of Lake City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	340 W Main St	open
Sip Co.	Bar		116 N Church St	open
Slabs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	438 W Main St	open
Smoke Central BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3534 W Turbeville Hwy	open
Snax Gourmet Ice Cream & Hot Dogs	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · American	115 N Acline St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	137 N Ron McNair Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	222 Kelley Street	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	101 N Ron McNair Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	896 S Ron McNair Blvd	open
Taqueria Amber	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	334 W Main St	open
The Clubhouse Grill	Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	160 Club Cir	open
The Culinary Commons	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	225 Kelley St	open
The Lazy Surfer	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	911 N Matthews Rd	open
The Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated)		244 Clifton Rd	open
The Rolling Griddle	Food truck		225 Kelley St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	808 Us Hwy 52	open
Prosser's Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		127 Sauls St	closed
Railway Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	144 S Acline St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	23	22	8	13	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	22	21	7	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	17	4	12	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	23	22	8	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	18	7	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	17	7	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	18	8	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	7	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	19	9	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	9	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	8	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	8	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	17	8	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	24	21	12	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	10	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	22	11	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	8	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	21	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	23	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29560. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.