BMIE Market 29842

Aiken County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±903 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,675 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,382 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$126,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29842
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29842. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.1	51	40%	+20.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.9	46	35%	+16.1
Market Momentum Score	35.2	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,102	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	57,949	26	40%	+10.5
Households (ACS)	3,176	68	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.2	87	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	8,102	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	57,949	26	20%	+5.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 8 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Filipino 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aura Ultra Lounge	Bar		214 Cary Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	125 Beech Island Ave	open
Crossroads Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1738 Sand Bar Ferry Rd	open
Dixie Clay Co	Bar		305 Dixie Clay Rd	open
Fire King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4395 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Freeman's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1060 Sand Bar Ferry Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4445 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	211 Cary Dr	open
Iron Horse Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ · American	2510 Storm Branch Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		4681 Jefferson Davis Highway	open
L.J Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Filipino · Chinese · Latin American (other) · American	5121 Augusta Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1721 Sand Bar Ferry Rd	open
Taco El Lobo	Food truck		4809 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
The Helm Country Cooking and Lounge	Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4659 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Tienda Y Panaderia Morales LLC.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4637 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	4390 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	3	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29842. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29816	3.2 mi	1	2016
29834	4.3 mi	1	2010
29851	4.5 mi	4	2023
29828	4.9 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.