BMIE Market 29851

Aiken County, South Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,435 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±384 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,524 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,425 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,095 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$164,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 29851
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 0–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 29851. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. South Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 318, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.9	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.2	50	35%	+17.6
Market Momentum Score	34.5	35	25%	+8.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,070	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	70,953	48	40%	+19.4
Households (ACS)	3,435	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.4
Population (ACS)	9,070	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,953	48	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bath Pool Room	Bar		8 Henderson St	open
Blimpie Subs & Salads	Other	Sandwiches	2555 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Bobbys Bar-B-Q Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Casual dining	BBQ · American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1897 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Bruce's Bar& Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1959 Augusta Rd	open
China	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	2595 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Coffee on the Go	Coffee shop	Coffee	2541 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Daily Dose	Bar		1187 Augusta Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2547 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
El Salvador Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3850 Augusta Rd	open
Frozen Delights	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Grain & Grind Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2555 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Iron Horse Cigar Lounge	Bar		2551 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
JAMROCK CARIBANA Restaurant & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	730 Augusta Rd	open
Lovo's Bar & Grill Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	3032 Augusta Rd	open
Lovo's bar and grill	Bar · Casual dining	Mexican	Augusta Rd	open
Ming Ming Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	103 Carline Rd	open
Nickey's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2583 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Nicky's Tasty Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Paradise Resturante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	2801 Augusta Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2585 Jefferson Davis Hwy	open
Playhouse Pub	Bar		216 Breeze Hill Rd	open
The Kings Ridge Hoa	Bar		114 Chestnut Brown Ct	open
Vickys Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3850 Augusta Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	1	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 29851. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29828	1.2 mi	2	2016
29834	1.6 mi	1	2010
29816	3.3 mi	1	2016
29842	4.5 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.