BMIE Market 32065

Clay County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,640 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±808 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	32,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,339 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,455 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,503 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$299,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32065
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+45.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+84.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 34–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32065. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.1	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.3	74	35%	+26.0
Market Momentum Score	64.8	65	25%	+16.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,578	95	40%	+37.8
Median household income (ACS)	97,455	79	40%	+31.7
Households (ACS)	14,640	93	20%	+18.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.9	57	35%	+19.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.4	79	25%	+19.7
Population (ACS)	41,578	95	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	97,455	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.9	71	50%	+35.5
10-year restaurant growth	12.9	57	30%	+17.0
20-year restaurant growth	45.8	61	20%	+12.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (91)

By cuisine

American 13 · Sandwiches 10 · Pizza 9 · Asian 8 · BBQ 7 · Italian 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 6 · Chinese 5 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Breakfast 2 · Filipino 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 23 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Akaya Grill & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1075 Oakleaf Plantation Pkwy	open
Amy's Place Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		330 College Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	896 Blanding Blvd	open
Avila Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Latin American (other) · Coffee	922 Blanding Blvd	open
Beachy Bakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3019 Hickory Glen Dr	open
Big Daddy's Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1330 Blanding Blvd	open
Big Dawgs Family Sports Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	American	1330 Blanding Blvd	open
Bite Me Hot Dogs and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	1022 Blanding Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1092 Blanding Blvd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	899 Blanding Blvd	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	899 Blanding Blvd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	934 Blanding Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	876 Blanding Blvd	open
Club Retro - Orange Park	Bar		1241 Blanding Blvd	open
Country Cabin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	789 Blanding Blvd	open
Crackers Lounge and Package	Bar		1241 Blanding Blvd	open
Crafty Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	950 Blanding Blvd #1	open
Debi's Cheesecakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	799 Blanding Blvd	open
Delicias de Borinquen	Bakery	Bakery	930 Blanding Blvd	open
Dem Boyz BBQN, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	59 Knight Boxx Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1210 S Blanding Blvd	open
Eagle Landing Arts & Farmer Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3989 Eagle Landing Pkwy	open
Egg Roll King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese · Asian	920 Blanding Blvd	open
El Dorado Gold &amp Silver, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		920 Blanding Blvd Ste 7c	open
El Poblanito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	922 Blanding Blvd	open
Escobar's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 College Dr	open
Famous Sandwiches and Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	862 Blanding Blvd	open
Fire Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1330 Blanding Blvd	open
Five Star Pizza Five Star Pizza	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	1045 Blanding Blvd	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1620 Blanding Blvd	open
Green Room Kava Lounge Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	179 College Dr #19	open
Gs Slow Smoked Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	1282 Blanding Blvd	open
Herbalife- Loaded T Nutrition of OP	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	104 College Dr Ste 5	open
Holey Moley Bagel Bar Nyc	Bakery	Bakery	179 College Dr	open
Infield Pizzeria and Sports	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	330 College Dr	open
Italian Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian	1102 Blanding Blvd	open
J&i Seafood Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Blanding Blvd Ste 1	open
JC Logistic	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5726 Springhaven Dr	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	853 Blanding Blvd	open
Joey Mozzarella	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	930 Blanding Blvd	open
Kassidy Management	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1083 Blanding Blvd	open
Kona Ice of NE Clay & SW Duval Kona Ice	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	Orange Park	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	686 Blanding Blvd	open
La Perla	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	104 College Dr	open
Larry's Giant Subs	Other	Sandwiches	1330 Blanding Blvd	open
Larry's Giant Subs Larry's Giant Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	700 Blanding Blvd	open
Las Congas Cafe Cuban Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	799 Blanding Blvd Ste 1	open
Legacy In Action Project Vii, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 College Dr Ste 17	open
Lola's Filipino Cafe & Mini Store	Café	Filipino · Coffee · Asian	1241-21 Blanding Blvd	open
Luca's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1339 Blanding Blvd	open
Mackey's Munchies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	868 Blanding Blvd	open
Manila Stix BBQ and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Filipino	3989 Eagle Landing Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	821 Canaveral Trce	open
McDonald's	Quick service		151 College Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1083 Blanding Blvd	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	899 Blanding Blvd	open
Noodles & Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Asian	1339 Blanding Blvd #6	open
NYC Meatballs and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1075 Oakleaf Plantation Pkwy	open
Oishi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	950 Blanding Blvd	open
Pa' Comer Algo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 College Dr Ste 8	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	901 Blanding Blvd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	950 Blanding Blvd Ste 10	open
Pizza & Wing Buffet	Quick service		1241 Blanding Blvd	open
Pizza Dreams Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1045 Blanding Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · BBQ · Italian	868 Blanding Blvd	open
Pokemoto	Restaurant (service type not stated)		700 Blanding Blvd Ste 10	open
Riquisimo Latin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		504 Deercroft Ln	open
Rush Bowls Rush Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1340 Blanding Blvd Ste 104	open
S&j Cd Duplication, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 College Dr Ste 3	open
Sdi Florida Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 College Dr	open
Shake's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	960 Blanding Blvd	open
Snac Shack	Coffee shop	Coffee	283 College Dr Bldg V	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	908 Blanding Blvd	open
Spaghetti House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	930 Blanding Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	950 Blanding Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	938 Blanding Blvd	open
Thai Basil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	1075 Oakleaf Plantation Pkwy	open
The McDonough Pub	Bar		Circle Ridge Dr	open
The Pig Bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1330 Blanding Blvd Ste 170	open
The Pig Bbq Seafood & Steaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · Seafood	830 Blanding Blvd	open
The Shaque Teau	Bar		1288 Rushing Dr	open
Tough Guys Cookies and Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	518 Hollyberry Ln Suite 104	open
Valentina's Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	330 College Dr	open
Vitos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1101 Blanding Blvd #112	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	704 Blanding Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1110 Blanding Blvd	open
Whit's Frozen Custard of Oakleaf Whit's Frozen Custard, Hilliard, Ohio	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1075 Oakleaf Plantation Pkwy	open
Wicked Batter Cafe	Café	Coffee	997 Blanding Blvd Ste 6	open
Woody's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	950-1 Blanding Blvd	open
Keg Saloon & Package Inc	Bar		1282 Blanding Blvd	closed
Lams Fusion Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Blanding Blvd Ste 8	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	17	8	9	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	6	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	3	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	22	19	4	13	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	27	24	9	13	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	8	14	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	25	23	8	15	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	29	27	11	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	25	9	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	32	30	12	17	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	31	28	10	16	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	31	29	9	19	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	35	32	11	21	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	31	28	13	14	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	32	31	14	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	31	14	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	28	10	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	28	13	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	28	12	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	31	14	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	36	34	16	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	33	16	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	34	16	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	36	34	13	14	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	40	35	12	15	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32065. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32222	3.4 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.