BMIE Market 32082

St. Johns County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,289 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,138 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,996 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,983 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,558 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$792,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32082
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+62.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+128.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+307.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	73 (range 66–81) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.5 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32082. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.2	90	40%	+36.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.0	76	35%	+26.6
Market Momentum Score	77.0	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,289	88	40%	+35.4
Median household income (ACS)	124,558	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	13,138	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	62.9	87	35%	+30.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.5	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	29,289	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	124,558	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.6	67	50%	+33.6
10-year restaurant growth	62.9	87	30%	+26.0
20-year restaurant growth	128	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (127)

By cuisine

American 27 · Seafood 12 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 8 · Italian 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Japanese 7 · Bakery 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Sushi 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · European 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Brazilian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 77 · Bar 30 · Casual dining 20 · Dessert 14 · Quick service 9 · Café 7 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1912 Ocean Bar and Rooftop	Bar · Casual dining		619 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
3 Palms Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		254 Alta Mar Dr	open
619 Ocean View	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	619 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
Aardwolf Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		9 Lake Ter	open
Al's Pizza Al's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	635 A1A N	open
Anejo Cocina Mexicana Ponte Vedra	Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	330 A1A N	open
Angie’s Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	125 Great Harbor Way	open
Aqua Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	395 Front St	open
Argyle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	254 Alta Mar Dr	open
Backyard Buffalo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Indian	581 N Wilderness Trail	open
Barbara Jean's On The Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	15 S Roscoe Blvd	open
Beach Cleaners	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		234 Solana Rd	open
Beach Diner Beach Diner Ponte Vedra Beach	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	880 SR-A1A N	open
Black Pearl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Japanese	880 A1A N #18b	open
Bogey Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	150 Valley Cir	open
Bronx House Pizza - Ponte Vedra Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	880 A1A N #8	open
Brucci's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	880 A1A N Ste 8	open
Caddy Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	900 Sawgrass Village Dr	open
Caffe Andiamo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	225 Village Main St	open
Caps on the Water Restaurant Caps On The Water	Bar	Seafood · American	4325 Myrtle St	open
Christy's Dream	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	41 PGA Tour Blvd	open
Crossroads Beach	Bar			open
Cruisers Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	832 A1A N Ste 2	open
Dan's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	148 A1A N	open
Darlene's Diner -THE PLAYERS	Casual dining	American	103 Championship Way	open
Dobson Performance Shooting School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		830 A1A N	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	236 Solana Rd	open
Down South BBQ Ponte Vedra	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	830 A1A North Ste 16	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	226 Solana Rd Suite 8	open
Easy Açaí	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee · Brazilian	278 Solana Rd	open
Fit With Hiit Featuring the Da Vinci Body Board	Restaurant (service type not stated)		820 A1A N	open
Flo's Premium Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	880 A1A N Ste. 11	open
Fresh Monkee - Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida Fresh Monkee Erie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	330 A1A N	open
Gastrosubs	Other	Sandwiches	1110 SR-A1A	open
Gastrosubs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Gourment Shop	Café	Coffee	200 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
I Noodle Ramen and Dumpling	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	880 A1A N #9	open
Island Girl Cigar Bar	Bar		820 Jimmy Buffett Mem Hwy Ste E-18	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	832 SR A1A North Suite 15	open
JJ's Liberty Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · American	330 A1A N	open
Jon Smiths Subs - Ponte Vedra Jon Smith Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	333 Village Main St	open
Jst Waterfront Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 S Roscoe Blvd	open
Karma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	European	822 A1A N	open
Kc's Kitchen	Dessert	Dessert	4510 Palm Valley Rd	open
Kelly's Homemade Ice Cream Counter at Foxtail Coffee Foxtail Coffee	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	260 Front St Ste 620	open
Kelsey's Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	833 Baytree Ln	open
Larry's Giant Subs	Other	Sandwiches	830 A1a N Ste 6	open
Le Macaron French Pastries Ponte Vedra Beach	Bakery	Bakery	330 A1A N	open
Lil Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	302 Solana Rd Ste 102	open
Lobby Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		Marriott Sawgrass Resort	open
Lynda's at the Ocean Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	3175 S Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 Ponte Vedra Pointe Blvd	open
McFlamingo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	880 SR-A1A N	open
Metro Diner Metro Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	340 Front St	open
Mezcal Cantina Ponte Vedra	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	880 SR-A1A N	open
Mezcal Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		880 A1a N Ste 18b	open
Millie's Homemade Ice Cream & Coffee Millie's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	830 A1A N Ste 16	open
Mr. Chubby's Wings MrChubby's Wings	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · American	150 Valley Cir	open
Mulligan's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		43 Tournament Players Club Blvd	open
New York Butcher Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	240 A1a N Ste 4	open
Nineteen at TPC Sawgrass	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	110 Championship Way	open
Nona Blue Modern Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	325 Front St	open
Pacific Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2 Fairfield Blvd	open
Palm Valley Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	299 Roscoe Blvd N	open
Palm Valley Outdoors Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	377 S Roscoe Blvd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	876 SR-A1A N	open
Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	240 A1a N	open
Peterbrooke Chocolatier Ponte Vedra Peterbrooke Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	333 Village Main St	open
Plantation Country Club	Bar		101 Tabby Ln	open
Players Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	262 Solana Rd	open
Ponte Vedra Wine Bar & Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		262 Solana Rd	open
Poppys Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · Seafood · American	832 A1a N Ste 1	open
Pusser's Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Caribbean	816 Highway A1A N	open
PV Shack	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	49 Dolphin Blvd	open
R Kelly's	Café	Coffee	1000 Tpc Blvd	open
Red’s Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	268 Solana Rd	open
Restaurant Medure	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	European · American	818 A1A N	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	840 A1A N	open
Rita’s of Ponte Vedra Beach FL Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert		open
Rock N Roll Sushi Factory	Bar	Japanese · Sushi	290 Solana Rd	open
Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	814 A1A N Ste 103	open
Salsas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	100 Sawgrass Village Dr	open
Sandwichman Deli	Other	Sandwiches	1110 A1a N Ste 102	open
Sawgrass Country Club Sand Bar	Bar		9795 Summer Pl	open
Sea Porch & Cabana Beach Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	619 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
Sea View Lounge	Bar			open
Seahorse Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Seaview Grille at The Lodge&Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	607 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
Sharky's Burgers, Fries, & Malts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Fairfield Blvd	open
Skewer's By Tento	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian	880 A1a N	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Quick service		854 A1A N	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2 Fairfield Blvd (Sr A1a & Palm Valley, )	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1000 Pga Tour Blvd	open
Steve And Taras Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3787 Palm Valley Rd Ste 105	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	254 Solana Rd Unit 254	open
Surf Club Patio - Ponte Vedra Inn And Club	Fast casual · Dessert	Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	200 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
Sushi House & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3787 Palm Vly Rd	open
Sweet Things by Lizzie	Bakery	Bakery		open
Table One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	330 A1A N Ste 208	open
The Boathouse Ponte Vedra	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	240 Jimmy Buffett Mem Hwy	open
The Dolly Llama	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	830 A1a N Ste 16	open
The Oasis At The Lodge And Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	607 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
The Patio at THE PLAYERS	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		103 Championship Way	open
The Plantation House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	220 Plantation Cir	open
The Seafoam Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		200 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
The Sweet Spot	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	41 Pga Tour Blvd	open
The Tavern (Members/guests only)	Bar · Casual dining		607 Ponte Vedra Blvd	open
The Turn	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Tlc Central Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Ponte Vedra Park Dr Ste 100	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	302 Solana Rd #103	open
Trasca & Co Eatery	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Pizza	155 Tourside Dr #1500	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	830 A1A N	open
Tuptim Thai Ponte Vedra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	242 Solana Rd	open
Two Dudes Restaurant Pv, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		262 Solana Rd # A	open
V Pizza + Julep V Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	154 Canal Blvd	open
V. Kelly's Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1000 Pga Tour Blvd	open
Valley Smoke Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	American · BBQ	11 S Roscoe Blvd	open
Vernon's First Coast Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1000 Tournament Players Club Blvd	open
Vincenzo's Cucina Ponte Vedra Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3787 Palm Valley Rd	open
Wok N Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3791 Palm Valley Rd	open
Woody's Bar-B-Q	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	226 Solana Rd	open
X Factor P	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4510 Palm Valley Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	3777 Palm Vly Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	220 Front St	open
Biggie's Pizza Ponte Vedra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	880 A1a N Ste 8	closed
Lulu's Waterfront Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	301 N Roscoe Blvd	closed
Subway Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		886 A1A N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	29	28	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	30	28	19	6	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	32	30	18	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	39	38	24	10	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	35	33	23	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	29	27	17	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	26	25	16	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	34	31	20	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	40	38	24	10	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	38	36	25	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	35	32	22	6	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	42	38	26	7	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	38	37	27	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	39	38	28	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	35	34	24	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	39	39	27	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	36	35	24	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	39	38	26	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	36	34	24	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	46	44	28	12	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	55	51	32	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	54	52	31	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	55	53	34	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	55	51	30	13	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	56	52	28	15	9	—	NAICS2017
2022	64	61	32	17	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	61	57	30	16	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32082. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32081	3.3 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.