BMIE Market 32136

Flagler County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,080 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,042 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,340 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	60.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,303 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±357 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$471,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,930 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32136
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	42.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+53.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+130.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 50–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.95) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32136. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.95, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.8	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.6	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	80.7	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,363	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	78,818	61	40%	+24.3
Households (ACS)	4,077	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	53.3	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	55	8	25%	+2.1
Population (ACS)	8,363	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	78,818	61	20%	+12.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.0	76	50%	+37.8
10-year restaurant growth	53.3	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	130	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (88)

By cuisine

American 19 · Coffee 10 · Seafood 9 · Italian 7 · Breakfast 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 5 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Caribbean 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Bar 23 · Casual dining 16 · Café 10 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6th Street Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	109 6th St S Ste 100	open
A1A Burrito Works Taco Shop A1A Burrito Works Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	400 S Oceanshore Blvd	open
Back to Eden Vegan Vegetarian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	210 S Central Ave	open
Barnhill's Cafe, Bar & Grill Barnhill's Cafe, Bar, and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		202 S Central Ave	open
Beach Belly Bob's Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches	1842B S Ocean Shore Blv	open
Beach Front Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2444 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Beachside Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	300 S Central Ave Ste 105	open
Beachside Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	509 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Bent Prop Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Break Awayz	Casual dining · Bar		819 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Buds Bar	Bar · Casual dining		3458 N Oceanshore Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6115 FL-100	open
By The Sea Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1536 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
CHINA CAFE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	426 Beach Village Dr	open
Cole And Oliver Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 S Ocean Shore Blvd Unit A	open
Coquina Coast Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		318 Moody Blvd	open
Dahlia Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	422 Beach Village Dr	open
Disabled American Veterans	Bar		208 S 6th St	open
Dulce De Leche Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Mexican · Latin American (other)	909 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6135 FL-100	open
FARO Beachside Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	311 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Finn's Beachside Pub	Bar · Casual dining		101 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Flagler Beach Wine & Cheese	Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service	Pizza	109 S 6th St	open
Flagler Beachfront Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		611 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Flagler Breez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2444 S Oceanshore Blvd	open
Flagler Fish Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse · American	1224 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Flagler Green Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		220 S 3rd St Unit 1	open
Flagler Tea Company	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	208 S Central Ave	open
Friends Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	220 S Flagler Ave	open
Funky Pelican	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	215 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Ginny's Taste Of Philly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	509 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Giovanni's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	220 Moody Blvd	open
Giuseppe's Flagler Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	303 Moody Blvd	open
Hi Tulip Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	400 Beach Village Dr	open
Hidden Treasure Raw Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	820 Moody Ln	open
High Tides at Snack Jack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	2805 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
James A Merrill Jr Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		808 Moody Ln	open
Java Joint Beachside Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2201 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		408 Beach Village Dr	open
Johnny D's Beach Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1005 N Oceanshore Blvd	open
Kool Beenz Coffee and Smoothies	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1842a S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Margarita Island Mexican Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	422 Beach Village Dr	open
Martin's Restaurant & Lounge	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · American · Steakhouse	2000 S Oceanshore Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6030 East Highway 100	open
Next Door Beach Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	509 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Ocean Bar at the Golden Lion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean		open
Oceanside Beach Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1848 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Oceanside Boys Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1848 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Ohana Food Co	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	107 N Central Ave	open
Oksa Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	300 S Central Ave Ste 105	open
Pasta Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	308 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Paulie's Pizza Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		428 Beach Village Dr	open
Petals and Cream	Food truck · Dessert	Dessert	2815 N Oceanshore Blvd	open
Pierogi Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	300 S Central Ave	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		6020 State Route 100	open
Poor Walt	Bar		302 Moody Blvd	open
R&amp M Restaurant Co Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		213 S 2nd St Unit 4	open
RAW JUICE CAFE \| Juice \| Acai \| Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	200 S Central Ave	open
Richie's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	105 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Rocky's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Rods Seafood Flagler	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2751 Moody Blvd	open
Romero's Tuscany By The Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	308 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Russian Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	German / Eastern European · Sandwiches	300 S Central Ave	open
Sally's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	401 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Salt Water Crocs Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Sammy J's Boston's Best Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2513 Moody Blvd	open
Sip and Surf Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	701 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
SunBros Café	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	301 Moody Blvd	open
Surfside Shakes	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	111 S 3rd St	open
Swillerbees Craft Donuts & Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	205 N Central Ave	open
The Anchor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		500 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The Blue Heron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	909 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The Golden Lion Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	501 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The Island Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1224 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The NET by George , seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1916 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The Salty Scoop Ice Cream Shop (Hershey’s)	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	105 N Ocean Shore Blvd	open
The TikiTender	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
The Tuscan Grille and Sweet Waters Bar and Grill	Bar	Burgers	820 Moody Ln	open
The Waffle Cone Ice Cream The Waffle Cone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	102 S 4th St	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	428 Beach Village Dr	open
Tortugas Florida Kitchen and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	608 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Turtle Shack Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Burgers	2123 N Oceanshore Blvd	open
Uncle Louie G	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	209 S 2nd St	open
Uncork'd Wine Bar	Bar		213 S 2nd St Unit 1	open
Vessel Sandwich Co.	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	213 S 2nd St	open
Whaam Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	400 S Ocean Shore Blvd	open
Yes Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	213 S 2nd St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	414 Beach Village Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	18	15	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	15	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	17	16	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	18	16	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	22	19	16	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	22	20	19	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	17	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	14	3	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	26	23	18	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	23	20	17	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	26	23	18	3	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	18	4	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	32	30	18	6	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	33	31	19	7	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	31	29	20	4	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	32	30	23	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	32	29	21	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	35	32	26	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	37	35	27	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	38	36	26	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	42	39	25	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	39	25	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	43	27	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	42	25	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	49	42	24	11	7	5	NAICS2022
2023	52	46	23	16	7	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32136. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32164	4.4 mi	41	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.