BMIE Market 32164

Flagler County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	56,658 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	22,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	41,616 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	18,345 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,755 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$339,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,833 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32164
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+24.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+720.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+4,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 31–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32164. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.8	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.2	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	79.7	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	56,658	98	40%	+39.2
Median household income (ACS)	76,399	57	40%	+22.9
Households (ACS)	22,363	98	20%	+19.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.2	83	25%	+20.9
Population (ACS)	56,658	98	20%	+19.6
Median household income (ACS)	76,399	57	20%	+11.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	24.2	80	50%	+40.0
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	30%	+19.9
20-year restaurant growth	720	99	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (83)

By cuisine

American 12 · Italian 10 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 15 · Bar 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Other 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ai Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	208 Saint Joe Plaza Dr	open
Akl Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		208 Saint Joe Plaza Dr	open
Bamboo Creek Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	800 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Baskin-Robbins Dunkin'	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	5290 E Sr 100	open
BillJovi Karaoke Services	Bar		wheaton lane	open
Broadway Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4845 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Bronx House Pizza Bronx House Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5615 FL-100 Unit 204	open
Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	160 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Casks & Kegs	Bar		160 Cypress Point Pkwy Ste A110	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		5865 State Route 100	open
Chicken Salad Chick Chicken Salad Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5650 FL-100 #114	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	5860 State Road 100 E	open
Cindy's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	21 Hospital Dr Ste Town	open
Copper Lotus Cafe and Bistro	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	21 Hospital Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5055 E Hwy 100	open
Delicias Of Portugal Bakery Ii	Bakery	Bakery	10 Cypress Point Pkwy Ste 101	open
Dex N Angie House of Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	Palm Coast	open
Dim Sum Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	160 Cypress Point Pkwy Ste A106	open
Divas Internationals Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Caribbean · American		open
Dominics Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	160 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	219 St Joe Plaza Dr	open
Don Luigi's Gourmet Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	260 Cypress Edge Dr	open
El Pollo Colorao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	227 St Joe Plaza Dr	open
Fancy Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5290 E Moody Blvd #105	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5615 FL-100 Ste 112	open
Florida Snowie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		4845 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Frankie's Chicago Beef	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	160 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Ger-Rain’s Tiki Shack	Bar		21 Woodlyn Ln	open
Giabella Restaurant And Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	260-104 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Golden Chopsticks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	225 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Golden Corral Buffet and Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Great American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	55 Town Center Blvd	open
High Jackers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		202 Airport Rd	open
Hmj Foods, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Icing on the Cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	21 Princess Kim Ln	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5890 FL-100 Unit 2	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	5877 FL-100	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	782 Belle Terre Pkwy, Ste 200	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5190 State Highway 100 E	open
Mezzaluna Pizzeria Mezzaluna Pizzeria at The European Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	800 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Miller's Ale House Miller's Ale House	Bar · Casual dining	American	5861 FL-100	open
Napoli Pizza Palm Coast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4845 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5294 FL-100	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	5234 East Highway 100 SUITE #110 SUITE #110	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	5880 State Route 100	open
Pasta Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	230 Saint Joe Plaza Dr	open
PDiddy &KK'S Paradise lounge	Bar			open
Perfect Pizza Pie, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		160 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Pine Lake Country Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Pine Lakes Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5290 E Hwy 100 Flagler	open
Pizza Hut Express Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Pizza · Coffee	5100 E Highway 100	open
Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5294 E Highway 100	open
Redefined Food Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · American · Juice / smoothies	1290 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Rustic Dough Works Palm Coast	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	160 Cypress Point Pkwy Ste D101	open
Sakura Pc Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		260 Cypress Edge Dr Ste 113	open
Santa Maria Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	48 Kalamazoo Trl	open
Sarafina's Meeting Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches · Breakfast	Wellington Drive	open
Sister Sister Bread Co.	Bakery	Bakery	3 Princess Luise Ln	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	5615 State Hwy 100 E. Unit 200	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	25 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	100 Belle Terre Blvd	open
Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake	Casual dining	American	1 Cypress Edge Dr	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5234 E Hwy 100 #108	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	174 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Sweet Melissa's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	160 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Sweet Shelia's Funnel Cake	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	110 Renshaw Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5045 State Hwy 100 East	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9 Whitney Pl	open
The Brown Dog	Bar · Casual dining		215 St Joe Plaza Dr	open
The Jacked Up Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	222 St Joe Plaza Dr	open
The Landing Strip Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		202 Airport Rd	open
Tijuana Flats Tijuana Flats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	5890 FL-100	open
Tokyo Japanese Steakhouse & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	260 Cypress Edge Dr Unit 113	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5234 Highway 100 E.	open
Venuto's Old World Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	160 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	174 Cypress Point Pkwy	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	800 Belle Terre Pkwy	open
Yogurt City Palm Coast	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1214 Palm Coast Pkwy SW	open
Yomii Frozen Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	800 Belle Terre Pkwy Ste 100	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	180 Cypress Edge Dr	open
Star-light Retro Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		227 Saint Joe Plaza Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	6	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	17	9	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	30	28	15	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	34	33	15	13	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	28	16	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	29	15	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	33	31	14	14	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	33	31	12	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	33	14	17	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	34	30	12	17	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	30	29	11	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	30	12	17	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	44	39	14	22	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	47	41	14	22	5	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32164. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32136	4.4 mi	46	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.