BMIE Market 32606
Alachua County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,833 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,571 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $87,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,032 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $347,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,602 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 15.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 50 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32606 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +13.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +78.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +117.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 47–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32606. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.4 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.9 | 63 | 35% | +22.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.4 | 71 | 25% | +17.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,022 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,953 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,657 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.7 | 33 | 25% | +8.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,022 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,953 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 13.6 | 72 | 50% | +35.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 78.6 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (91)
By cuisine
American 15 · Asian 10 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 9 · Japanese 8 · Mexican 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Sushi 8 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Chinese 4 · Seafood 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Caribbean 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Quick service 16 · Dessert 11 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43rd Street Deli and Breakfast House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Breakfast · American | 4401 NW 25th Pl | open |
| Ameraucana Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2410 NW 43rd St | open |
| Arashi Yama Sushi & Hibachi | Bar | Japanese · Sushi | 4780 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4253 Nw 25th Place | open |
| Arnolds Mission Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 11200 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Bageland at Thornebrook Village | Bakery | Bakery | 2441 NW 43rd St | open |
| Bageland Gainesville | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery | 2441 NW 43rd St | open |
| Bangkok Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 8181 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 8181 NW 38th Lane Unit #10 | open |
| Blue Agave | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · American | 4401 NW 25th Pl. | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9401 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Cabana Cove Caribbean Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · Caribbean | 2410 NW 43rd St | open |
| cairo grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 2410 NW 43rd St | open |
| Cedar River Seafood Cedar River Seafood of Lake City, Florida | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 5141 NW 43rd St | open |
| Chan's Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9200 NW 39th Ave #150 | open |
| China Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5200 NW 43rd St | open |
| Chop Stix Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · American | 2441 NW 43rd St Ste 13 | open |
| Chutnees | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 3833 NW 97th Blvd | open |
| Crafty Bastards Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4860 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 9700 NW 39th Ave | open |
| David's BBQ & Catering | Catering | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5121 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Deluxe Desserts By Chy | Dessert | Dessert | 9200 Nw 39th Ave Ste 130 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4620 Nw 39th Ave | open |
| Donut Connection Donut Connection-Spring St/Charleston,WV | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5205 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7605 W Newberry Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 9700 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Formaggio's Bistro & Wine Bar | Casual dining | 2441 NW 43rd St | open | |
| Gainesville, FL Krystal | Quick service | 7700 W. Newberry Rd. | open | |
| GATORS DEN SPORTS GRILL | Bar · Casual dining | American | 4200 NW 97th Blvd | open |
| Gumby's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5205 NW 39th Ave Ste B | open |
| Harvest Thyme Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 4780 NW 39th Ave #1 | open |
| Hood & Hernandez Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5127 NW 39th Ave | open | |
| Hurricane BTW Elevation Burger - Qatar | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 8181 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Ichiban Sushi Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 4401 Nw 25th Pl Ste J | open |
| Jalisco Town Modern Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4401 NW 25th Pl | open |
| Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5200 NW 43rd St Ste 508 | open |
| Kasai Sushi Bar and Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4401 NW 25th Pl. Ste c | open |
| Krishna Lunch at SF | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Vegetarian | 3000 NW 83rd St | open |
| La Fiesta Mexican Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 9513 NW 39th Ave | open |
| La Fortuna Latin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3000 NW 83rd St | open | |
| Las Margaritas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4405 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Law Offices Of Terry N. Silverman, P.a. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2770 Nw 43rd St Ste A | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5141 NW 43rd Street | open |
| Massoud And Frances, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4410 NW 25th Pl | open |
| Maui Teriyaki Grill | Quick service | 1006 NW 76th Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5110 NW 43rd St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9260 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Mint Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan · Indian | 7625 W Newberry Rd | open |
| Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 7770 West Newberry Road | open |
| New China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1018 NW 76th Blvd | open |
| Northwest Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5115 NW 39th Ave | open |
| One Love Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 4989 Northwest 40th Place | open |
| Opus Coffee - UF Health Springhill Opus Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4037 NW 86th Terrace | open |
| Peppers Mexican Grill and Cantina Pepper's Mexican Grill and Cantina | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7750 W Newberry Rd | open |
| Piesanos Piesanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5200 NW 43rd St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 2320 NW 43rd St | open |
| Pomodoro Cafe | Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 9200 NW 39th Ave #100 | open |
| Resident Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4401 NW 25th Pl | open |
| Rock Creek | Bar | open | ||
| Sal's Place | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5109 NW 39th Ave | open | |
| Schlotzsky's | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4720 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 9213 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4780 NW 39th Ave Suite 9 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5200 NW 43rd St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches | 8181 NW 38th Lane, Suite 20, Shoppes of Park Avenue | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 9303 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3000 NW 83rd St, Rm 103, Bldg R | open |
| Taco Del Mar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8181 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Tacos 352 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8181 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Taste TASTE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 4860 NW 39th Ave c | open |
| TCBY | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2441 NW 43rd St #24C | open |
| The Bakery Mill | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1143 NW 76th Blvd | open |
| The Mission Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 10901 W Newberry Rd | open |
| The Paper Bag | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4780 NW 39th Ave | open |
| Thirsty Gator Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1301 NW 76th Blvd | open |
| Thornebrook Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 2441 NW 43rd St | open |
| Volcanic Sushi and Sake Volcanic Sushi + Sake At Haile Village Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5200 NW 43rd St | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7611 W Newberry Rd | open |
| Wahoo Seafood Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3833 NW 97th Blvd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9225 Nw 39th Ave | open |
| Wing Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1006 NW 76th Blvd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5141 NW 43rd St Ste 108 | open |
| Yo3 Metro | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5141 Nw 43rd St Ste 108 | open |
| Yummy House Gainesville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7605 W Newberry Rd | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7300 W Newberry Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5200 NW 43rd St #401 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 9200 NW 39th Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | NW, 1200 NW 76th Blvd | open |
| Flaming Crab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7605 W Newberry Rd | closed | |
| Mts Chop House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 3833 NW 97th Blvd | closed |
| Panama Joe's | Bar | 5109 NW 39th Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 34 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 38 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 45 | 41 | 15 | 22 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 41 | 37 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 42 | 40 | 16 | 18 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 49 | 47 | 20 | 21 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 45 | 43 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 40 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 39 | 17 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 45 | 44 | 20 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 44 | 21 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 47 | 24 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 50 | 23 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 53 | 50 | 23 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |