BMIE Market 33527

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,364 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,445 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,203 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,185 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$387,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,837 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33527
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 1–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33527. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.8	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.7	79	35%	+27.6
Market Momentum Score	36.2	36	25%	+9.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,364	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	80,464	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	5,445	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.3	99	25%	+24.7
Population (ACS)	17,364	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,464	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	50%	+3.3
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

Mexican 18 · Latin American (other) 7 · American 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Dessert 4 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Billie's Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4239 Moores Lake Rd	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	4324 Mcintosh Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4649 McIntosh Rd	open
Chamoy's king	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies	14720 Ml King Blvd	open
Chilaquiles Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14240 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Churrasqueria El Chapin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	14263 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Country Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	13606 US-92	open
Cta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4649 McIntosh Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4810 McIntosh Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	4324 Mcintosh Rd	open
El Charro Tapatio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3249 Sydney Dover Rd	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4506 McIntosh Rd	open
Italian Wagon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Italian	13396 E US Highway 92	open
Jerry's Patriot Smokehouse BBQ and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	12801 Thonotosassa Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12901 U S 92, 12901 U.S. 92	open
La Fondita Taqueria Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3022 McIntosh Rd	open
La Taqueria Hidalgo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14510 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Lake Side Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2912 McLeroy Pl	open
Mariscos El Paraiso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	14240 E Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4650 McIntosh Rd	open
Nidia's Latin Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14164 574th Highway	open
Patriot Palms BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	12801 Thonotosassa Rd	open
Rancho Los Potrillos -Dover FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3249 Sydney Dover Rd	open
Raspados mexicanos	Dessert	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	15132 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Rosa's Taco Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14739 Sydney Rd	open
Strawberry Bakery Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	12904 Gore Rd	open
Taco Rey Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14672 E Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Tacos al Pastor El Primo.	Food truck		14507 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Tacos El Gordo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14560 E Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Taqueria El Solesito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	FL-574	open
Taqueria Josy	Food truck	Mexican	3264 Sydney Dover Rd	open
Taqueria la tlayuda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	15604 E Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
TAQUERIA LOS POTRILLOS GTO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3249 Sydney Dover Rd	open
Taqueria Pancho Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3185 N Dover Rd	open
Taqueria “la doña”	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Mexican	14760 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
TRES TACOS (Tacos, Burritos, Bowls)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4660 McIntosh Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33527. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33594	2.9 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.