BMIE Market 33594

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	32,677 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,810 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,042 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$346,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,640 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33594
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33594. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.9	87	40%	+34.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.0	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	56.3	56	25%	+14.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,361	93	40%	+37.1
Median household income (ACS)	96,628	79	40%	+31.5
Households (ACS)	13,297	91	20%	+18.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.5	82	25%	+20.6
Population (ACS)	37,361	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	96,628	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.7	60	50%	+30.0
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	30%	+14.6
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 12 · Asian 5 · Coffee 5 · Japanese 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Sushi 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andy's Frozen Custard Andy's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2501 SR-60 E	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	1905 E State Road 60	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3370 Sr 60 E	open
Asian Kitchen In Valrico Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1997 E State Road 60	open
Bbq Luxe Tampa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2112 Valrico Heights Blvd	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2561 SR-60 E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2117 FL-60	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1916 E State Road 60	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1812 East Highway 60	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1880 E State Road 60	open
Daily Blends	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1991 E State Road 60	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1534 Bloomingdale Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	3307 E State Road 60	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2206 E Brandon Blvd	open
Eddie Bull’s Cookie Dough	Dessert	Dessert	2810 E State Road 60	open
El Palacio Del Sazón	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1608 FL-60	open
El Paladar Jibaro Bar Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Latin American (other) · Caribbean · Juice / smoothies	122 Pierce Christie Dr	open
Fat Willie's Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1912 Main St	open
Gator Bait Foods, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2028 E State Road 60	open
Grand Sixty Club	Bar	Spanish / tapas	1608 E State Road 60	open
Greg's Pimp Plaza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		2707 St Anthony Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1909 E Brandon Blvd	open
Hibachi Express(1914 FL-60 E, Valrico)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1914 FL-60	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2505 Hwy 60 East	open
Los Gorditos Lounge & Event Venue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1608 E. State Road 60	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2050 State Rte 60 E	open
Otsuka Ramen & Bar Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	1903 E State Road 60 Ste F	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	3490 Lithia Pinecrest Road	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2547 e state rd 60	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3220 Lithia Pinecrest Rd. Hillsborough	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1944 Hwy 60 Hillsborough	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2511 Fl	open
Robongi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	2519 SR-60	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1812 E State Road 60	open
Smoothie Queen	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1930 E Brandon Blvd	open
Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake	Quick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2567 E State Road 60	open
Stingray's Bar Grill & Arcade	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3112 FL-60	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1954 E Hwy 60 Unit 10, Space 406	open
Sushi Hana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1903 FL-60 Suite F	open
Sushi Ushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1713 E State Road 60	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2201 E Brandon Blvd	open
The Green Table on Tour	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	214 S Valrico Rd	open
The New York Diner- Valrico	Casual dining	American	2126 Jelane Dr	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2018 FL-60	open
Twisted Sisters Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1602 E Brandon Blvd	open
Voodoo Brewing Co - Valrico, FL Voodoo Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		3432 FL-60	open
Willies: The Place For Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1912 Main St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	2028 Florida State Route 60	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1971 SR-60 E	open
Cafe Villa Columbia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1941 E State Road 60	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	4	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	21	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	12	3	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	20	6	10	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	32	27	8	14	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	42	37	16	15	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	39	32	12	13	6	3	NAICS2002
2007	37	34	14	13	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	33	31	16	10	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	28	26	11	11	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	11	12	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	27	26	10	12	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	26	25	11	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	27	13	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	29	15	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	29	15	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	29	29	15	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	27	14	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	27	12	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	27	13	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	26	12	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	28	13	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	31	16	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	28	13	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33594. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33527	2.9 mi	4	2023
33510	3.6 mi	10	2023
33596	3.8 mi	30	2023
33511	3.9 mi	175	2023
33550	4.8 mi	1	2004
33530	4.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.