BMIE Market 33543

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,778 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,898 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,251 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,787 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,239 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$397,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33543
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+29.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+55.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+253.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+960.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	63 (range 58–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.3 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33543. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.2	90	40%	+36.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.8	81	35%	+28.3
Market Momentum Score	86.2	86	25%	+21.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,648	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	107,349	85	40%	+34.1
Households (ACS)	14,037	92	20%	+18.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	55.9	85	35%	+29.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	40,648	94	20%	+18.8
Median household income (ACS)	107,349	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	29.3	83	50%	+41.5
10-year restaurant growth	55.9	85	30%	+25.6
20-year restaurant growth	253.3	96	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (106)

By cuisine

American 26 · Coffee 13 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 7 · Burgers 7 · Pizza 7 · Chicken / wings 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Breakfast 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Caribbean 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Quick service 20 · Bar 16 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 11 · Casual dining 10 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 & 2 Restaurant American Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33835 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
365 Caffé Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Italian · Coffee	28211 Paseo Dr	open
3Natives 3Natives	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	28211 Paseo Dr	open
900 Degrees Woodfired Pizza At Wiregrass	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	28152 Paseo Dr Ste 195	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	28422 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	I-75 And Highway 56	open
Azteca D' Oro Mexican Restaurant Wesley Chapel Azteca D'Oro Winter Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2000 Piazza Ave	open
Bagelicious and More	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	30032 State Road 54	open
Bawarchi Indian Cuisine, Wesley Chapel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	30056 CR 54	open
BeveTe75	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	4401 English Turn Way	open
Blondie's Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	28163 Paseo Dr	open
Borinquen Frappe & Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Dessert	29504 State Road 54	open
Bosco's Italian To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	30122 State Road 54	open
Bud's Burgers & Birds	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	5429 Village Mkt	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	28136 State Road 54 W	open
Cantina Laredo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2000 Piazza Ave #170	open
Caprese Pizza House NEW YORK PIZZERIA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	30036 County Line Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	28152 Paseo Dr	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	28152 Paseo Dr. Suite 190	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	28295 State Road 54	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches	28444 State Road 54	open
China Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	30032 County Line Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		34120 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Chuck Lager America's Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2001 Piazza Ave Ste 175	open
Clean Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	28216 Paseo Dr Ste 170	open
Coffee Latitud	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	28620 Twinbrook Ln	open
Cooper's Hawk Winery & Restaurant Cooper's Hawk Winery & Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28963 FL-56	open
Crazy Sushi Wiregrass	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	28152 Paseo Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	28831 State Road 54	open
Culvrr’s Wesley Chapel, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Daroma Holdings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28210 Paseo Dr	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	28358 Willet Way	open
Dempsey's Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5700 Saddlebrook Way	open
Dempsey’s Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5700 Saddlebrook Way	open
Dive Bar	Bar		34304 State Road 54	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	28850 State Rd 54 Suite 110	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	28385 State Road 54	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	28232 US Route 54, In Speedway	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1821 Bruce B Downs Boulevard Suite 112	open
El jefe	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1648 Bruce B. Downs Blvd.	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	28876 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	28894 State Rd. 54	open
Fords Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Sr-56	open
Fresh Healthy Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	28139 Paseo Dr Ste 170	open
Glory Days Grill Glory Days Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	28812 SR 54	open
Grillsmith GrillSmith	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · BBQ	2000 Piazza Ave #100	open
Honey Baked Ham The Honey Baked Ham Company	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1259 Bruce B Downs Blvd Northwood Shopping Center	open
Hopman Harry/saddlebrook International Tennis	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5700 Saddlebrook Way	open
Hot Wok 88	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	27425-27327 Wesley Chapel Blvd Spc B11	open
Irish 31 Wiregrass	Bar		28358 Willet Way	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	28444 State Road 54	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	28870 State Rd 54	open
Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1830 Bruce B Downs Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Le Macaron French Pastries Le Macaron Boutique	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	28347 Paseo Drive Unit #110	open
Leonidas Chocolates Cafe Leonidas	Café · Dessert	Coffee · Dessert	28163 Paseo Dr	open
Mac Lucas Fl Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28347 Paseo Dr	open
Mama T's Treats LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4055 Waterville Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		31431 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	27643 State Rd 54 W	open
Meadow Pointe II Community Dev	Bar		30051 County Line Rd	open
Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	28356 Willet Way	open
Migas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	19707 Bruce B Downs Blvd	open
Mochiberri Frozen Yogurt & Smoothies	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2000 Piazza Ave Ste 150	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	28139 Paseo Dr	open
Noble Crust Noble Crust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Cajun, Creole, Southern	28330 Paseo Drive	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	28345 Willet Way	open
OddFellows Ice Cream Co.	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2001 Piazza Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	28332 Willet Way	open
PHOLICIOUS	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	28329 Paseo Dr Ste 180	open
Pinchers Pinchers - Tin City Naples, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	28330 Paseo Drive Ste 185	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	28670 Fl-54 Pasco	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1201 County Road 581 Pasco	open
Pool Bar at Saddlebrook Resort	Bar		Saddlebrook Way	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	28014 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Primebar	Bar		2001 Piazza Ave	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	28222 Willet Way	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4424 Friendly Wy #120	open
Rocket Fizz Rocket Fizz	Dessert		28163 Paseo Dr	open
Rudraksh Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	4424 Friendly Wy #115	open
Silva's Coffee Grind	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · American	34100 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Skybox Rooftop Bar	Bar · Casual dining		2867 Lajuana Blvd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1908 Bruce B. Downs Blvd	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5324 Bruce B Downs Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	28676 State Road 54	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	27709 State Road 56, Sam's Club Shopping Center	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	28500 State Road 54	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	34140 State Road 54	open
Tacoson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	30056 State Road 54	open
Tallo Restaurant & Bar - American Restaurant	Bar	American · Caribbean	4424 Friendly Wy	open
Teriyaki Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	28152 Paseo Dr Unit 160	open
The Alley Wesley chapel, Florida	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	28211 Paseo Dr	open
The Brass Tap The Brass Tap - Lakeside Village	Bar		2000 Piazza Ave	open
The Living Room of Wesley Chapel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2001 Piazza Ave	open
Tijuana Flats Tijuana Flats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	27709 FL-56 UNIT 101	open
TIPSY Lizard Poolside BAR	Bar		30400 Country Point Blvd	open
Token Ramen and Kung Fu Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	2000 Piazza Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	28500 State Road 54	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	28031 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Wesley Chapel - Wiregrass The Brass Tap	Bar		2000 Piazza Avenue Unit 110	open
Wok Chi - Stir Fry Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	28152 Paseo Dr	open
Woody's Pizza and Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30000 County Line Rd	open
Wtb Green Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28139 Paseo Dr	open
Yamato Japanese Steakhouse & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	28347 Paseo Drive #150	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1920 CR 581	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	18	11	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	12	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	22	13	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	22	20	8	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	26	24	11	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	12	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	32	31	14	12	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	37	35	16	15	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	36	35	18	10	7	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	34	16	10	8	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	30	15	10	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	33	31	18	8	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	35	33	17	11	5	2	NAICS2012
2017	40	38	21	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	42	41	22	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	43	41	24	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	42	24	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	52	50	25	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	55	51	24	20	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	57	53	23	23	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33543. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33647	3.7 mi	96	2023
33544	4.4 mi	85	2023
33545	4.6 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.