BMIE Market 33545

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±604 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,996 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,192 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,021 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$399,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33545
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33545. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.4	88	40%	+35.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91.4	91	35%	+32.0
Market Momentum Score	91.8	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,222	89	40%	+35.6
Median household income (ACS)	118,889	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	9,334	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.3	99	25%	+24.7
Population (ACS)	30,222	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	118,889	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+58.6
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+33.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 6 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 6 · Bar 3 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Boyette Fresh	Food truck		6715 Boyette Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	7910 Curley Road	open
D & R Homestyle Southern Cuisine	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		31885 Overpass Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	32801 Eiland Blvd	open
K'ndungo	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	6715 Boyette Rd	open
La Paella Florida.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	28525 Seashell Ct	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30052 Overpass Rd	open
Mama G’s Koupe Dwet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · African	30701 Summer Sun Lp	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32797 Eiland Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	34367 Wesley Chapel Blvd	open
Mr. & Mrs. Clydes Unique Tacos & Quesadillas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7788 Tuscan Bay Cir	open
Piccolo Pizzetta	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9122 Forge Breeze Loop	open
Puss-N-Boots Neighborhood Pub	Bar		29329 Rhodin Pl	open
Rita’s of Avalon Park Wesley Chapel FL Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Shang Hai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	32785 Eiland Blvd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Quick service		30197 Wesley Chapel Blvd, Suite 3	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7994 Curley Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	32801 Eiland Blvd Ste 109	open
Sweet Petals Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	32050 Garden Alcove Loop	open
Swig Swig	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8076 Curley Rd	open
Tokyo Grill & Sushi Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	32825 Eiland Blvd	open
Tom's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar	American	6948 Runner Oak Dr	open
Tommies Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	31522 Triborough Dr	open
Totally Blu Builders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	32781 Eiland Blvd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	SR 54	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service		7803 Dynamic Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	32725 Eiland Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	32265 Overpass Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2008	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	—	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	—	1	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	4	1	—	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33545. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33576	2.5 mi	6	2023
33543	4.6 mi	53	2023
33541	4.9 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.