BMIE Market 33576

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±644 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,784 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,046 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,388 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,684 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$998 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±642 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$376,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,780 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33576
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33576. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.8	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	89.1	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,273	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	76,388	57	40%	+22.9
Households (ACS)	2,911	67	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.6	74	25%	+18.5
Population (ACS)	6,273	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	76,388	57	20%	+11.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Cup of Organic	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	33024 Co Rd 52	open
Al's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11931 Curley St	open
Bloom San Antonio	Café	Coffee	12630 Curley St Ste 102	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	30005 State Rd 52	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	29933 State Road 52	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service		30203 State Road 52	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	29933 State Road 52	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza & Subs Hungry Howie's	Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	30925 Mirada Blvd	open
Klds Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32725 State Road 52	open
Local Public House and Provisions	Casual dining · Bar		32750 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Neon Cowboy on 52	Bar	American	11449 Bellamy Brothers Blvd	open
On Q Smokehouse Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	33030 State Road 52	open
Pancho's Villa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	32804 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Ralph's San Antonio Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	American	32631 Co Rd 52	open
Sweet Nellie's Online	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	32808 Pennsylvania Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		30171 Sr 52	open
Tasty Tokyo Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	30825 Mirada Blvd	open
The Hungry Greek The Hungry Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	30937 Mirada Blvd	open
Three Little Loaves Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	32353 Michigan Ave	open
Tio Pedro Latin Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	29539 State Road 52	open
Amazonas Coffee	Café	Coffee	11654 Corporate Lake Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33576. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33545	2.5 mi	7	2023
33574	3.7 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.