BMIE Market 33569
Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,867 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±439 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,074 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,100 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $105,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $372,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33569 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -9.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +154.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 18–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33569. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.8 | 86 | 40% | +34.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.3 | 59 | 35% | +20.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.8 | 42 | 25% | +10.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,867 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 105,275 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,092 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.7 | 20 | 35% | +7.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.1 | 72 | 25% | +18.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,867 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 105,275 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 65 | 50% | +32.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.7 | 20 | 30% | +6.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -9.7 | 17 | 20% | +3.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (65)
By cuisine
American 10 · Asian 8 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Japanese 2 · Thai 2 · Caribbean 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 20 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 13424 Boyette Rd | open |
| All the Bones LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 12054 Stone Pine St | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 10243 Big Bend Road | open |
| BebesSlots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 10810 Boyette Rd | open |
| Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek | Bar · Casual dining | American | 9622 US-301 | open |
| Big Shake's Hot Chicken & Fish | Quick service | American · Chicken / wings | 10810 Boyette Rd | open |
| Boba Ice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 13428 Boyette Rd | open |
| Boyette Rd. & McMullen Rd Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 11624 Boyette Rd. | open |
| Chai Yo Thai Thai•Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 11695 Boyette Rd | open |
| Chef Shakespeare Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10106 McMullen Rd | open | |
| China Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 11651 Boyette Rd | open |
| Coker's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 10901 McMullen Loop | open | |
| Columbia Cafe Tampa, Fl | Café | Coffee · Latin American (other) | open | |
| Culver's Culver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 11620 Boyette Rd | open |
| Dasilva's Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 11226 Boyette Rd | open |
| DING Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 11244 Boyette Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 11224 Boyette Rd Unit #1 | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 11404 S US Hwy 301 | open |
| Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11615 Boyette Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 11292 Boyette Rd | open |
| El Huracan Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 11238 Boyette Rd | open |
| El Indio Tacos y Snacks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8606 Wickline Dr | open |
| Fox Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 12910 Boyette Rd | open |
| Franks and Subs | Quick service | 13428 Boyette Rd # 5706 | open | |
| Grillineer BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 10106 McMullen Rd | open |
| Honey's Kitchen | Bakery | Bakery | 11415 Blue Crane St | open |
| Hookah Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 11226 Boyette Rd | open |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10042 U S 301 | open |
| Jimmy Jo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers · American | 11218 Casa Loma Dr | open |
| Kimi's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 11270 Boyette Rd | open |
| Leaven Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 11238 Boyette Rd | open | |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Quick service | 11438 US Highway 301 S | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9870 Us Hwy 301 | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 13118 S US Hwy 301 | open |
| MF BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | BBQ · American | 11531 Balm Riverview Rd | open |
| Mister Pasta | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 11681 Boyette Rd | open |
| Moca Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 11244 Boyette Rd | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6020 Winthrop Town Center Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 10635 Big Bend Road | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13220 Boyette Rd | open |
| Payaathai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 13416 Boyette Rd | open |
| Pho Loc Tho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 11262 Boyette Rd | open |
| Pink Door Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 11266 Boyette Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3829 US Hwy. 301 S Hillsborough | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10619 Gibsonton Dr Hillsborough | open |
| PizzaVola Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11643 Boyette Rd | open |
| Quinn's Waterside Bar & Grille | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Pond Pine Dr | open |
| Rodrigos Kitchen 10709 5th St., Riverview | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 10709 5th St | open |
| S&S Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10106 McMullen Rd | open |
| Sazone Lab | Catering · Food truck | Caribbean | 11531 Balm Riverview Rd | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 11624 Boyette Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10033 Balm Riverview Road | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9628 US HWY 301 S | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6933 US-301 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 13226 Boyette Rd | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | Boyette Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 10611 Gibsonton Drive | open |
| The Daily Spot | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 13206 Boyette Rd | open |
| The Talking Pint Bar and Bistro | Casual dining · Bar | 13418 Boyette Rd | open | |
| Three Brothers Barbecue | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 11238 Boyette Rd | open |
| Tiki Docks River Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 10708 Palmetto St | open | |
| Tiki Turbo | Juice, smoothie, tea · Delivery-focused · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 10106 McMullen Rd | open |
| Westshore Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 11643 Boyette Rd | open |
| Xpedite Now | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11232 Boyette Rd | open | |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 11667 Boyette Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 11 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 10 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 11 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 31 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 32 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 40 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 52 | 42 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 47 | 38 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 46 | 36 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 44 | 35 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 41 | 33 | 11 | 19 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 42 | 33 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 28 | 8 | 18 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 30 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 21 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 25 | 8 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |