BMIE Market 33579

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	49,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,548 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±870 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,723 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,901 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,165 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$415,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,776 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33579
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+144.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,100.0% DERIVED: 2007 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 23–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	94 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	94 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33579. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	93.1	93	40%	+37.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93.9	94	35%	+32.9
Market Momentum Score	96.9	97	25%	+24.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	49,470	97	40%	+38.7
Median household income (ACS)	116,134	89	40%	+35.6
Households (ACS)	15,548	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	144.4	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.5	94	25%	+23.4
Population (ACS)	49,470	97	20%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	116,134	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	120	98	50%	+61.2
10-year restaurant growth	144.4	95	30%	+35.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Chicken / wings 7 · Asian 6 · American 5 · Bakery 4 · Japanese 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Asian Yummy House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Chinese	10679 Big Bend Rd	open
BIG AL'S Place	Bar	BBQ	12903 Waterview Way	open
Bread off Bergstrom	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	12735 Bergstrom Bay Dr	open
Breakfast And Lunch Subs By Selfie Subs	Other	Sandwiches	Inside Chevron	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	10607 Big Bend Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	12810 Summerfield Crossing Blvd	open
China Fun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11365 Big Bend Rd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10721 Big Bend Rd	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10787 Big Bend Rd	open
Doc'S Grille	Bar · Buffet	American	13050 Summerfield Blvd	open
Hoss's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11367 Big Bend Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13202 Summerfield Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	10683 Big Bend Rd	open
Mandola's Italian Kitchen Mandola's Italian Florida	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Bakery	12926 US-301	open
Maple Street Biscuit Company Maple Street Biscuit Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10777 Big Bend Rd	open
New York New York Pizza New York New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11367 Big Bend Rd	open
Omakase Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	13149 US-301	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	10771 Big Bend Rd.	open
PDQ PDQ Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10441 Big Bend Rd	open
Peck's Flame Broiled Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Greek	10685 Big Bend Rd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	10551 Big Bend Road	open
Power Pool and Cigar Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		11552 Misty Isle Ln	open
Pupuseria Fé	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12914 Fox Way Trl	open
Queen Of The Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11412 Brighton Knoll Loop	open
Raspas Arcoiris	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Dessert	12705 Balm Riverview Rd	open
Sakura Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Japanese · Asian	10722 Big Bend Rd	open
Smoothie King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10689 Big Bend Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10716 Big Bend Rd	open
Sticky Rice Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	11351 Big Bend Rd	open
Sushi Mizu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Seafood	12350 US-301	open
Taste the Smoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	12502 Balm Riverview Rd	open
The Fried Flavor	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10685 Big Bend Rd	open
The Smoothie Stop	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	13384 Balm Riverview Rd	open
Tm Southern Properties Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10721 Big Bend Rd	open
Willie Jewell's Old School Bar-b-q Big Bend	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	10787 Big Bend Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2007	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	21	9	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	22	10	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	22	8	9	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33579. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33503	2.4 mi	1	2001
33569	3.6 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.