BMIE Market 33815
Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,587 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,180 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,267 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,643 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $37,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $39,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33815 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +157.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +125.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +63.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +260.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 15–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33815. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.7 | 48 | 40% | +19.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.5 | 64 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.9 | 92 | 25% | +23.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,975 | 75 | 40% | +30.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 37,487 | 5 | 40% | +2.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,180 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 125 | 95 | 35% | +33.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.9 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,975 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 37,487 | 5 | 20% | +1.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 157.1 | 98 | 50% | +49.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 125 | 95 | 30% | +28.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 63.6 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
Mexican 12 · American 10 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 4 · Caribbean 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Bakery 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 10 · Food truck 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abundant Life Flavor House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 724 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Beijing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 149 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Brew Hub | Brewery / taproom | 3900 Frontage Rd S | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2095 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Café Monterrey Food Truck | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4100 New Tampa Hwy | open |
| Chef Paulies Cafe and Catering | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5675 New Tampa Hwy | open |
| Chicken On Wheels | Quick service | American · Chicken / wings | 836 W Main St | open |
| Club Cueballs ( the old Roy's place) | Bar | 809 W Memorial Blvd | open | |
| COSTILLA GRILL MEXICAN RESTAURANT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Sandwiches | 223 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Country Hearth Bread | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 3355 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| DELI FRUT | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 600 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Delicious Mex Taqueria Taxco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2069 W Highland St | open |
| Don Guillos Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Coffee | 1241 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Dr.freeze | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1732 Olive St | open |
| Dragon Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1732 Olive St | open |
| El Chino Good Fortune | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Mexican · Asian | 1818 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| El Viajero Sandwich | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 2085 W Highland St | open |
| Ethos Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop | Coffee | 132 Lake Beulah Dr | open |
| Grain and Berry - Lakeland Grain and Berry | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies | 322 Kathleen Rd | open |
| Great Southern Beverages | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3900 S Frontage Rd | open | |
| Hardee’s | Quick service | 2050 W Memorial Blvd | open | |
| Hillcrest Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 119 Hillcrest St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2100 West Memorial Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1615 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 117 Lake Beulah Dr | open | |
| La Calentana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1725 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| La Morenita Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2009 George Jenkins Blvd | open |
| La Rosita's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 741 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Lakeland Proteín bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Breakfast | 745 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Las Katrachitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 724 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Mariyah's Smash Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 306 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Marlene's Caribbean Take-Out Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 813 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Mas Que Fruta | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 215 N Wabash Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5325 Frontage Rd S | open |
| Mega Mercado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2009 George Jenkins Blvd | open |
| Monterrey Taquería 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1801 George Jenkins Blvd | open |
| One Stop Dollar Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 803 N Wabash Ave | open |
| PAC slapshot Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3395 W Memorial Blvd | open | |
| Paleteria y Pasteleria Guerrerense | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2075 W Highland St | open |
| Pasteles mely | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 824 N Brunnell Pkwy | open |
| Pat's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 618 N Wabash Ave | open | |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1919 George Jenkins Blvd | open |
| Publix Dairy plant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert | Bakery | 3045 New Tampa Hwy | open |
| Punto Boricua | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2248 New Tampa Hwy | open | |
| Queen's Lemonade Palace | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Rogue Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 307 W Main St | open |
| Sb B Seafood Bar Gr | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood · American | 1801 George Jenkins Blvd | open |
| Smokin Aces BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5675 New Tampa Hwy Ste 7 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 850 County Line Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 125 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Swan Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 115 W Pine St | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2045 W. Memorial Blvd | open |
| Taqueria el primo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 209 N Wabash Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Raza | Food truck | Mexican | open | |
| The hangout hookah Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 812 west memorial blvd | open | |
| The Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · African | 836 W Main St | open |
| Tropical Flavor | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Caribbean | 1505 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Tropical Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 1505 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Vieru Beverage Llc | Winery / distillery / taproom | 5675 New Tampa Hwy Ste 7 | open | |
| Wabash Pizzeria And Ice Cream Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 217 N Wabash Ave | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1910 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| What The What NY Style | Food truck | Caribbean | 1241 W Memorial Blvd | open |
| Ybors Cuban Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 306 S Central Ave | open |
| Cornbread Alley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2019 W Memorial Blvd | closed | |
| Gabby's Caribbean And American Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 521 W Memorial Blvd | closed |
| Hash Snack & Deli Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 813 W Memorial Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 10 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 11 | 7 | — | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 13 | 9 | — | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 11 | — | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 18 | 4 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |