BMIE Market 33837
Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 47,389 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,987 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±855 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,234 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,886 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,966 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,699 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $334,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 51.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33837 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +91.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +266.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 53 (range 48–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33837. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.0 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 82.2 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 83.0 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 47,389 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,276 | 64 | 40% | +25.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,204 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 91.3 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.3 | 75 | 25% | +18.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 47,389 | 96 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,276 | 64 | 20% | +12.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.8 | 74 | 50% | +36.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 91.3 | 90 | 30% | +26.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 266.7 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (118)
By cuisine
American 19 · Coffee 16 · Sandwiches 11 · Dessert 9 · Latin American (other) 9 · Mexican 9 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Breakfast 6 · Caribbean 6 · Burgers 5 · Chinese 5 · Italian 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Sushi 3 · Cuban 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 70 · Quick service 23 · Café 13 · Casual dining 13 · Coffee shop 12 · Dessert 12 · Bar 11 · Bakery 8 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abuela's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Mexican | Vitoria Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 45000 Highway 27 | open |
| Auntie Pricee Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 42677 US HWY 27 | open |
| Bejuco’s Chickens BBQ | Food truck | BBQ · Caribbean | 43804 US-27 | open |
| Best Island Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 2200 DEER CREEK COMMERCE | open |
| Blue Heron Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 1518 Clubhouse Blvd | open |
| Bob Evans Restaurants Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 43700 Highway 27 U S 27 & I-4 | open |
| Bojangles | Quick service | 40235 U.S. 27 | open | |
| Cafe Sol | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5200 Solterra Blvd | open |
| Cake & Bake | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 121 Webb Dr | open |
| Camille's Sidewalk Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 1266 Posner Blvd | open |
| CAVA CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 1339 Posner Boulevard | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 43568 Highway 27 | open |
| Chinese Buffet | Buffet | Chinese | Hwy 27 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1091 Posner Blvd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 905 Workman Way | open | |
| Chongifrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 2626 FDC Grove Rd | open |
| Cicis Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1850 Victor Posner Blvd | open |
| Cocoviches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 43804 US-27 | open |
| Cooter's Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 301 W Maple St | open |
| Corner Cafe | Casual dining | American | 110 W Orange St | open |
| CQ'z Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 42389 Us Highway 27 N | open | |
| Crabs4You | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 38030 Highway 27 | open |
| Crumbl - Davenport | Dessert | Dessert | 2100 Posner Blvd | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1107 Posner Blvd | open |
| D'oro Palazzo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Middle Eastern | 2200 Posner Blvd | open |
| Davenport Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 40230 US-27 | open |
| Davenport's Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1260 Posner Blvd | open | |
| Deer Creek - Sunrise Tiki Bar and Topside Tavern | Bar | open | ||
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 40230 Highway 27 | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 38219 Highway 27 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 43450 Highway 27 | open |
| E & I Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1127 US Hwy | open |
| EC Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 43568 US-27 | open |
| El Jibareño | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 43360 US-27 | open |
| El Kiosko 38 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 43418 US-27 | open |
| Elliot Sourdough Dealer | Bakery | Bakery | 42 Forest Dr | open |
| Envío Express 24/7 LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 550 Hatteras Rd | open | |
| Erika's Tea Room & Gifts | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 450 Del Sol Ave | open |
| Fancy Q Sushi & Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese | 2300 Forest Lake Dr #105 | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1141 Posner Blvd | open |
| First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1141 Posner Blvd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1321 Posner Blvd. | open |
| Giovanni's Pizza and subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 42641 US-27 | open |
| Golden Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 39871 Hwy 27 | open |
| GranoFino Rustic Café | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1615 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
| Greenside Grill | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 42749 US-27 | open |
| Hardee's | Quick service | 4950 Us Highway 27 N | open | |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 39837 Hwy 27 | open |
| Hilton's Gourmet Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 301 W Maple St | open | |
| His & Hers Food Truck | Food truck | Burgers · Sandwiches | 43804 US-27 | open |
| Honey's Bee Bee Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2200 Posner Blvd | open |
| Hungry Crab Davenport | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 43554 Hwy 27 | open |
| Hwy 27 Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 49537 US Hwy 27 | open |
| Joe Muggs Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5600 Grandview Pkwy | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 5945 US Highway 17 92 N | open | |
| La Colombianita Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 43418 US-27 | open |
| La Criolla Cafe & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 39895 US-27 | open |
| La Papa Supreme by Pal Campo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | American | 43804 Hwy 27 | open |
| La Tapenade Tavern - DWO | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 500 Del Webb Blvd | open | |
| Lechona al punto | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 115 Sigmund Loop | open |
| Lucky Leprechaun Irish Saloon | Bar | 43356 Highway 27 | open | |
| Luke's Legendary Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 39867 US Highway 27 N | open |
| Manna Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | Highway 27 | open |
| Manninos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 43362 Hwy 27 | open |
| Marzano Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 39867 Highway 27 | open | |
| Mi Isla BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 2300 Deer Creek Commerce Ln Suite 300 | open |
| Mianas Cakes | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | Hamlet Lp | open |
| Miller's Ale House Miller's Ale House | Bar · Casual dining | 40220 US-27 | open | |
| Nicks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2300 Deer Creek Commerce Ln Ste 300 | open |
| Nothing Fancy Café | Café | Coffee | 40230 US Highway 27 N | open |
| Ovation Bistro & Bar Ovation Bistro & Bar, Davenport | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · BBQ | 42605 Hwy 27 | open |
| Ovation Bistro & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3120 Huntwicke Blvd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 43470 US-27 | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 1121 Posner Blvd | open |
| Parada 27 Food Truck | Food truck | Caribbean | 2450-3210 Holly Hill Grove 3 Rd | open |
| Perkins Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 43522 Us Highway 27 | open | |
| Philly Steak & Wings of Davenport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Sandwiches | 39859 US-27 | open |
| Pinchos 414 | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 269 Hamlet Loop | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5000 Grandview Parkway Polk | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 345 Davenport Boulevard | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes | Quick service | 43392 U.S. Hwy 27 | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 43392 Hwy 27 | open |
| PotBelly Sandwich Works | Other | Sandwiches | 1315 Posner Blvd | open |
| QQ To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Chinese | 42633 Hwy 27 | open |
| Restaurante Los 3 Hermanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 110 W Orange St | open |
| Ridgewood Lakes Activity | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 High Vista Dr | open | |
| Sabrosura 718 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 2300 Deer Creek Commerce Ln | open |
| Sake | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 2700 Posner Blvd | open |
| SH-Booms Ice Cream & Oldies | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 42609 Highway 27 | open |
| Split Oak Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 2704 Rooks Rd | open |
| Spoon & Sprinkles | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 2250 Posner Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1101 Posner Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5000 Grandview Pkwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 101 Polo Park Blvd E | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3050 Deer Creek Commerce Lane Suite 101 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7910 Lake Wilson Rd Unit #2 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2300 Deer Creek Commerce | open |
| Taco Maker | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1260 Posner Blvd | open |
| Taps & Corks | Bar · Casual dining | 125 W Bay St | open | |
| Tati's Cakes & Coffee Shop LLC | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1125 US-17 | open |
| The Coffee Grove Corp | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2131 Davenport Blvd | open |
| The Grill at Ridge Wood Lakes Golf Club. | Casual dining · Quick service · Bar | open | ||
| The Hotel Tea Room | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea | 301 W Maple St | open |
| The Meltdown | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · Breakfast · Coffee · American | 44111 S US 27 | open |
| The Wheelhouse Bar & Pub | Bar | 42637 Hwy 27 | open | |
| Tri-bailey Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1850 Posner Blvd # A | open | |
| True Blue Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 604 Pink Apartment Rd | open | |
| Twistee Treat Posner Twistee Treat USA | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1311 Posner Blvd | open |
| Webb's Candy | Dessert | Dessert | 38217 Highway 27 | open |
| Wendy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 40231 Highway 27 | open |
| Wild Dogs | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 43568 US-27 | open |
| Yerix’s Cakes | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 304 E Palm St | open |
| YoDaddio Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2250 Posner Blvd | open |
| Zen Asian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4812 Grandview Pkwy | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 39883 Hwy 27 | open |
| Zoey's Pasta On The Go | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches | 145 Ridge Center Dr | open |
| ¡Qué Chulada! La mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2700 Posner Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 46 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 36 | 15 | 18 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 34 | 13 | 18 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 38 | 15 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 52 | 40 | 14 | 21 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 56 | 44 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2022 |