BMIE Market 33896
Osceola County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,828 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,076 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,633 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,815 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $74,668 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $344,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 20.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33896 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +350.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +3,500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 51–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +3.2 per year, r² 0.98) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33896. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +3.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.98, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.5 | 73 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77.7 | 78 | 35% | +27.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 95.0 | 95 | 25% | +23.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,731 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,668 | 55 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,828 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 350 | 100 | 35% | +34.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.5 | 58 | 25% | +14.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,731 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,668 | 55 | 20% | +10.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +45.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 350 | 100 | 30% | +29.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 3,500 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (80)
By cuisine
American 19 · Coffee 12 · Asian 10 · Pizza 8 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Italian 6 · Japanese 6 · Mexican 6 · Dessert 5 · Sushi 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Mediterranean 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 19 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Café 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Corners Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 8250 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Osceola Polk Line Rd | open | |
| Blue Coast Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8298 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6127 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1005 Heritage Pass | open |
| Cg Donuts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8224 Champions Gate Blvd | open | |
| Cheese Queen Queijaria Artesanal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Flange Dr | open | |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican · Sandwiches | 8180 Laura Ln | open |
| China One In Osceola Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8307 Champions Gate Blvd | open | |
| China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7880 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 2116 Triglia Way | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2027 Aegean Wy | open |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 111 Dunson Ln. I-4 & US 27 | open |
| Davenport Sashimi Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7870 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| David's Club | Bar · Casual dining | Steakhouse | 1500 Masters Blvd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 45717 Us Highway 27 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 7571 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 8224 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6031 Hwy 17-92 North | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 400 Legacy Village Drive Suite 106 | open |
| Family Cuisine Bar and grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1395 Tuscana Ln | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 8280 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Flippers Pizza - Reunion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7967 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Ford's Garage ChampionsGate Ford's Garage | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 8035 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Forest Fare Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1368 Elan Dr | open |
| Frosty Froyo | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8270 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| FruChurro | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 44079 US-27 | open |
| Huey Magoo's Chicken Tenders Huey Magoo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 8316 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza & Subs Hungry Howie's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6103 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8180 Laura Lane | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8258 Championsgate Blvd. | open |
| Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1955 Aegean Way | open |
| Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 2021 Aegean Way | open |
| Lins Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6107 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
| Little Greek Fresh Grill Little Greek Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 8310 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 8095 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7553 Osceola Polk Line Road | open |
| Margarita's Cocina Mexicana, Davenport Margarita's Cocina Mexicana, Lakeland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 45653 US-27 | open |
| Mayaki Sushi & Izakaya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 6035 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8279 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8006 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Menchie's | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8270 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Mikado sushi Mikado Japanese Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1979 Aegean Wy | open |
| Miller's Ale House Miller's Ale House | Bar · Casual dining | American | 8170 Laura Ln | open |
| Mondo Di Gelato | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7537 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 8065 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Osceola Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8020 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 996 Heritage Pass | open |
| Pa Los Chinos Restaurant Pa' los Chinos Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Chinese | 7563 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Palma Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 8266 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | 1947 Aegean Way | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 8190 Laura Ln | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7760 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| Paradise Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1501 Champions Gate Blvd W | open |
| Pepperon' Pizzeria | Quick service | Italian · Pizza | 8293 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Piper's Grille And Championsgate Lounge | Bar | 8575 White Shark Blvd | open | |
| Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 8262 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Pronto Eataly Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8293 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Red Robin Gourmet Burgers and Brews Red Robin Gourmet Burgers | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 8184 Laura Ln | open |
| Reunion Gyro Halal Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 7900 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Quick service | 1971 Aegean Way | open | |
| SoFresh - Champions Gate SoFresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8307 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 7963 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8311 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Sushi Size Davenport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 44009 US-27 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7480 Osceola Polk Line Rd | open |
| Tacos Don Andres Champions Gate | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8281 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| Tap That Beer House | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6047 US Highway 17 92 N | open | |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 1997 Aegean Wy | open |
| Tijuana Flats Tijuana Flats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8274 Champions Gate Blvd Ste 300 | open |
| Trevi's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Italian · Coffee | 1500 Masters Blvd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7920 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| Tuscana Tavern Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1395 Tuscana Ln | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1575 Berwick Dr | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7860 Lake Wilson Rd | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service | 6027 Hwy 17-92 | open | |
| Zaxbys Zaxby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6027 S Orange Blossom Trl | open |
| Zen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1500 Masters Blvd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8301 Champions Gate Blvd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6075 U.S. Hwy 17-92 N | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 25 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 36 | 15 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |