BMIE Market 33853

Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±881 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,161 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,115 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,059 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±135 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$209,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33853
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-14.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+3.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 24–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33853. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.4	42	35%	+14.8
Market Momentum Score	55.5	56	25%	+13.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,674	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	44,474	9	40%	+3.7
Households (ACS)	4,923	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	35%	+18.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.9	30	25%	+7.6
Population (ACS)	12,674	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	44,474	9	20%	+1.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16	74	50%	+37.0
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	30%	+15.5
20-year restaurant growth	-14.7	15	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (89)

By cuisine

American 20 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 10 · Mexican 9 · Breakfast 5 · Italian 5 · Seafood 5 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 9 · Café 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abriana's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	218 State Road 60 E	open
AL'S PLACE Restaurant Al's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1530 N Scenic Hwy	open
Anita's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	114 W Central Ave	open
Antojitos Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1331 FL-60	open
Aunt Laurie's Candy Jar	Dessert		127 E Stuart Ave	open
Bargains4u	Bar		455 S Buckmoore Rd	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Hwy 27	open
Beef O Bradys Family Sports Pub Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	229 E Stuart Ave	open
Blue Palmetto Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1151 Tower Blvd	open
Blue Palmetto Cafe	Café	Coffee	1151 Tower Blvd	open
Brake Burger Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	206 FL-60	open
Breslers Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1362 SR-60	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 E State Road 60	open
Carter's Bar-b-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	187 Burns Ave	open
China Pearl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1372 State Road 60 E	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	116 SR-60 E	open
City Star Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		740 State Road 60 W	open
Cocoa Cake Studio	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	224 E Stuart Ave	open
Crab Shack King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	200 W Central Ave	open
Crazy Fish Seafood Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	802 Henry St	open
Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	222 S 1st St	open
Downtown Pizza & Sportsbar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	253 E Stuart Ave	open
Drip Jar Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	688 FL-60 West	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	180 FL-60	open
Eggs27 Breakfast and Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	19301 Hwy 27	open
El Ranchito Mexican Restaurant Lake Wales Fl	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	740 FL-60	open
El Sol de Michoacan	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	224 S 1st St	open
Granny's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1376 State Road 60 E	open
Grannys kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	229 E Stuart Ave	open
GRIND HARD Stores	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1 Scenic Central	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2014 Sam Walton Way	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	740 SR-60	open
Ihope	Quick service	Breakfast · American		open
Impact Cafe	Café	Coffee	1201 Burns Ave	open
Junior’s Fish Market & Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1341 FL-60 E, Lake Wales	open
Kangaroo Express	Quick service	Chinese	206 S Scenic Hwy	open
Keisha's Seafood and Soulfood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	504 4th St S	open
Kevin's Pizzeria & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	218 State Road 60 E	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	885 U.S. Highway 60 West	open
Kualao Lao Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	114 W Central Ave	open
Lady B's Tea Parlour	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · British / Irish pub food	205 E. Stuart Avenue	open
Lake Wales Cheese Shoppe & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	224 E Bullard Ave	open
Lake Wales Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Greek	109 FL-60 West	open
Lake Wales Latte Lounge Coffee and Bookshop	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	229 E Stuart Ave	open
Lincoln Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	218 Lincoln Ave	open
Lincontro Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	35 State Road 60 W	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1301 Hesperides Rd	open
Locorrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	218 FL-60	open
Los Potosinos Restaurant y Tienda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	19001 US-27	open
Lwrg Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		802 Henry St	open
Market Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	20 N Market St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	416 W Central Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1978 State Route 60	open
Melanie's Seafood Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	120 E Park Ave	open
Mimi’s Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	253 E Stuart Ave	open
Orgen D'nal	Café	Coffee	1429 Resmondo Dr	open
Pete's Phase III	Casual dining · Bar		118 E Crystal Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	190 State Road 60 E Polk	open
Pizzano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1326 State Road 60 E # 100	open
Pizzano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1326 State Road 60 E	open
Pretzelmaker Pretzelmaker	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Bakery	414 Eagle Ridge Drive	open
Pub 126	Bar		126 N 1st St	open
Real Mexican Tacos	Food truck		333 S 1st St	open
Rocky's Candy Exchange	Dessert		230 E Park Ave	open
Romeo Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1303 State Road 60 E	open
Saliches	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		105 E Stuart Ave	open
Say-Less BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	907 N 2nd St	open
Secret Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	218 State Road 60 E	open
Sky Vue Smoke Shop & Hookah Lounge	Bar		104 FL-60	open
Smokin' DJs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	122 N 1st St	open
Something Different Foods LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		18720 US-27	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17309 Highway 27	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1382 FL-60	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	Eastgate Shopping Center 1942 East Hwy 60	open
Taco Riendo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1099 FL-60 E	open
Tasty Wings & Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	112 FL-60	open
The Lounge - Warner Southern College	Bar		5301 US Hwy. 27 S.	open
The Ranch Taproom & Coffeehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		247 E Park Ave	open
The Thirsty Dragon	Bar · Casual dining		126 N 1st St	open
Twistee Treat Lake Wales Twistee Treat USA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2043 FL-60	open
Vibin’ Vinny’s	Casual dining	American	230 E Park Ave Ste 24	open
Vidal's GRILL	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	455 S 4th St	open
Vintage Doughnuts	Food truck		318 N Scenic Hwy	open
Wales Pointe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		207 E Park Ave	open
Woody's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	19501 Hwy 27	open
Ximena's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	343 W Central Ave	open
Chuck Chuck Chicken Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 W Central Ave	closed
Manny's Original Chophouse- Lake Wales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	210 State Road 60 W	closed
Tacos Daniel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	343 W Central Ave # 208	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	31	31	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	41	39	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	50	48	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	44	40	21	17	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	45	39	18	18	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	33	31	13	15	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	35	31	16	13	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	35	30	16	12	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	41	34	17	15	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	44	38	19	16	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	40	35	18	15	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	42	39	19	18	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	34	31	18	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	30	29	17	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	32	31	17	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	29	15	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	28	15	12	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	29	12	15	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	27	11	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	28	28	11	15	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	26	10	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	27	27	12	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	30	14	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	25	13	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	24	8	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	28	10	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	28	10	15	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	29	10	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33853. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33859	2.8 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.