BMIE Market 33924

Lee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	42 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	761 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,854 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33924
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	52.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	17 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	7 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	17 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33924. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	7.1	7	40%	+2.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	17.3	17	35%	+6.1
Market Momentum Score	33.0	33	25%	+8.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 7 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	109	7	40%	+4.7
Households (ACS)	42	7	20%	+2.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 17 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+15.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	458.7	1	25%	+0.2
Population (ACS)	109	7	20%	+1.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-37.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

Seafood 8 · American 7 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Caribbean 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Boops	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	15001 Captiva Dr	open
Cantina Captiva	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14970 Captiva Dr	open
Captiva Island Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11513 Andy Rosse Ln	open
Crooked Snook Tiki Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Sea Breeze	open
Crow’s Nest Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	15951 Captiva Drive	open
Doc Ford's Rum Bar and Grille Doc Ford's Rum Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Caribbean	5400 Plantation Rd	open
Keylime Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	11509 Andy Rosse Ln	open
Latte Da Coffee Shop & Gifts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	11508 Andy Rosse Lane	open
Mainstay and Barnacles Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4401 Point House Trl	open
Mangos	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Oasis Pool Bar	Bar		15951 Captiva Dr	open
Old Captiva House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	15951 Captiva Dr	open
Over the Waterfront	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	4470 Escondido Ln	open
RC Otter's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	11506 Andy Rosse Ln	open
Scoops and Slices	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1508 South Seas Plantation Road	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5400 Plantation Rd	open
Sunshine Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	14900 Captiva Dr	open
The Boat House, North Captiva Island	Bar	Seafood	4421 Bartlett Pkwy	open
The Green Flash Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	15183 Captiva Dr	open
The Mucky Duck The Mucky Duck Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11546 Andy Rosse Ln	open
The Pointe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5400 Plantation Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	9	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	9	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	8	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	8	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	8	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33924. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33956	4.4 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.