BMIE Market 33947

Charlotte County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±815 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,180 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,576 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,091 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,246 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	65.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$403,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2022 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2022 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33947
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2027	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2007–2022 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33947. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2007–2022, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.4	68	40%	+27.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.9	80	35%	+28.0
Market Momentum Score	88.3	88	25%	+22.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,447	71	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	80,091	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	5,122	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.9	98	25%	+24.4
Population (ACS)	10,447	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	80,091	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Guys Pizzas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	31 Chalett road #6	open
Cape Haze Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3745 Cape Haze Dr	open
Dearborn Street- Englewood	Bar			open
Edelweiss Biergarten	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	31 Chailett Rd	open
Gaspy’s Cafeteria	Buffet		41 Chailett Rd	open
Lipinski’s Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		3745 Cape Haze Dr	open
Noy's Bistro and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		31 Chailett Rd	open
Que Rico Colombian Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Chailett Rd	open
Rotonda V	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3725 Cape Haze Dr	open
Rotonda West Womens Club	Bar		3754 Cape Haze Dr	open
Street Harvest	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	140 Rotonda Cir	open
The Hills Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	100 Rotonda Cir	open
The Love Shack	Bar		55 Bunker Ct	open
Your Mom's Tool & Garden Supplies	Bar		198 Mark Twain Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2021	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33947. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33946	2.3 mi	6	2023
34224	3.2 mi	22	2023
33981	4.2 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.