BMIE Market 33981

Charlotte County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±528 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,534 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,710 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33981
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 2–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33981. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.7	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.8	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	45.4	45	25%	+11.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,622	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	84,098	67	40%	+26.8
Households (ACS)	7,103	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.8	95	25%	+23.8
Population (ACS)	15,622	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	84,098	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Banditos	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5665 S McCall Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12531 S McCall Rd	open
China Wok of Port Charlotte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13435 S McCall Rd	open
Chuck’s	Food truck		7141 Gasparilla Rd	open
Ephesus Mediterranean Grill & Bakery / Coffee Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mediterranean · Coffee	8300 Wiltshire Dr	open
Flip Flops Pantry & Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	9330 Migue Cir	open
Grandma's Sweet Treats	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	12456 N Access Rd	open
International House of Bittner	Quick service	American	6431 Facet Ln	open
Joe's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13435 S McCall Rd	open
La Casa Capone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mexican · Latin American (other)	14444 San Domingo Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13418 S McCall Rd	open
Pho Gulf Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	13435 S McCall Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13435 S McCall Rd Bay A-5	open
The Cigar Bar	Bar · Casual dining		13348 buckett circle	open
The Rustic Bean	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	12717 Gulfstream Blvd Ste 6	open
Uncle Louie G of Port Charlotte	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	13435 McCall Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13417 S McCall Rd	open
White Rabbit Saloon	Bar		8282 Wiltshire Dr	open
Wren’s Bread Shed	Bakery	Bakery	12066 Brookside Ave	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	13435 S McCall Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33981. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33947	4.2 mi	3	2022
33946	4.7 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.