BMIE Market 33953

Charlotte County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±975 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,522 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,753 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$372,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33953
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33953. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.2	67	40%	+26.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.3	75	35%	+26.4
Market Momentum Score	79.2	79	25%	+19.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,318	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	83,070	66	40%	+26.3
Households (ACS)	3,378	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.6	74	25%	+18.4
Population (ACS)	8,318	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	83,070	66	20%	+13.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Indian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Food truck 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amboyan Penny Bar	Bar · Casual dining		13604 Wainwright Dr	open
Bean Depot	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4370 Garden Rd	open
Big Bamboo Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4104 El Jobean Rd	open
Black Sheep Kava Bar	Bar		1057 Collingswood Blvd	open
BLU GROTTO ITALIAN RISTORANTE	Restaurant (service type not stated)		992 Tamiami Trl Unit F	open
Blue Heron Pizza Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	992 S Tamiami Trl	open
Blue Iguana Bikini Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		1225 S Tamiami Trl	open
Brix Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	844 S Tamiami Trl	open
Capt. Jacks Peg Leg Pub	Bar		598 Way St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	829 Tamiami Trl	open
Ebenezer Food Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1057 Collingswood Blvd	open
Juan's Hacienda	Bar · Quick service		Somewhere in Florida	open
La Famiglia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	992 Tamiami Trl	open
La Fuente De Antojitos Gto Inc	Food truck	Mexican	59 S Tamiami Trl	open
Luigi's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1209 Tamiami Trl	open
Pho Charlotte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1225 Tamiami Trl	open
Pomodoro Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	829 S Tamiami Trl	open
Port City Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	1032 Tamiami Trl	open
Royal India	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1032 Tamiami Trl #11	open
Shipwreck Saloon	Bar		4230 El Jobean Rd	open
Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1152 Tamiami Trl	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	829 Tamiami Trail	open
Swaad Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1032 S Tamiami Trl	open
Sweet Scoops Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	171 S Tamiami Trl	open
Taco truck	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Dania Ave	open
Tarpon Harbor 2	Quick service	American	4643 Club Dr	open
The Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	320 Tamiami Trl	open
Uncle Toad's BBQ	Food truck		4230 El Jobean Rd	open
Smokey Phantom Hookah Lounge	Bar		675 Tamiami Trl	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	4	1	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	2	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	7	5	2	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	3	1	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	5	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33953. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33948	3.8 mi	58	2023
34287	4.6 mi	47	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.