BMIE Market 34287

Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,779 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±736 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,859 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$256,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34287
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+62.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+193.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+487.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	54 (range 50–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34287. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.6	67	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.3	65	35%	+22.8
Market Momentum Score	79.0	79	25%	+19.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,929	86	40%	+34.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,464	36	40%	+14.5
Households (ACS)	11,815	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	62.1	86	35%	+30.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.1	42	25%	+10.6
Population (ACS)	25,929	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	63,464	36	20%	+7.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.9	70	50%	+34.9
10-year restaurant growth	62.1	86	30%	+26.0
20-year restaurant growth	193.8	91	20%	+18.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (114)

By cuisine

American 20 · Pizza 14 · Coffee 12 · Asian 9 · Bakery 9 · Mexican 9 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Italian 6 · Japanese 6 · Sushi 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · European 4 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Quick service 21 · Café 11 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbe's Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	13625 S Tamiami Trl	open
Allen's BBQ & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · American	Hillsborough Blvd	open
Alvaro's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14512 Tamiami Trl	open
Anna Maria Oyster Bar Anna Maria Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	14132 S Tamiami Trl	open
Antolino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14291 Tamiami Trl	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	17500 Tamiami Trail	open
Barr Health Services, Llc Dba West Coast Wellness	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4361 Aidan Ln	open
Big Back Wagon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14530 S Tamiami Trl Trailer	open
Black Dog 1, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14830 Tamiami Trl	open
Blue Tequila Mexican Restaurant, Grill & Cantina	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14525 S Tamiami Trl	open
Bocca Lupo Coal Fired Pizza Bocca Lupo Coal Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4301 Aidan Ln	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	18379 Tamiami Trl	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	14928 S Tamiami Trl	open
Cafe Evergreen	Café	Coffee	12200 San Servando Ave	open
Casa de Uruguay Food Truck and Bakery	Food truck	Latin American (other)	14803 S Tamiami Trl	open
Chaang Thai Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	13672 Tamiami Trl	open
China Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	4411 Aidan Ln	open
China Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1581 S Sumter Blvd	open
China Wokery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14909 Tamiami Trl	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	17019 Tamiami Trl	open
City Of North Port	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13640 Tamiami Trl	open
Courtside Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	5301 Heron Creek Blvd	open
Crumbl - North Port	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	17437 Tamiami Trl	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5648 Tuscola Blvd	open
Daniel Rubin Chiropractic, Pllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14888 Tamiami Trl	open
Ding Tea Ding Tea Batam	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	14949 S Tamiami Trl	open
Dubz BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4391 Aidan Ln	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4915 White Ibis Drive	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14807 Tamiami Trl	open
Dvg Nutrition Store 2390 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17281 Tamiami Trl	open
Earth Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	13665 Tamiami Trl	open
El Faro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14525 S Tamiami Trl	open
European Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · European	14809 S Tamiami Trl	open
Family Table Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14132 Tamiami Trl	open
Fat Irvings	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	12693 Tamiami Trl S	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	17789 Tamiami Trail	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	17819 S Tamiami Trl	open
Get Smoked BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4172 Nele St	open
Golden Springs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12200 San Servando Ave	open
Greek Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	14828 Tamiami Trl	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	13201 B Tamiami Trail	open
IAsia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	17399 S Tamiami Trl	open
Ikoi Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1471 S Sumter Blvd	open
IL Primo Pizza & Wings IL Primo Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Chicken / wings	16979 Tamiami Trl	open
Imperial Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13001 Tamiami Trl	open
Imperial Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4491 Lubec Ave	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	17297 Tamiami Trl	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	17247 Tamiami Trail	open
Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4391 Aidan Lane	open
K&K Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · European · Coffee	13661 S Tamiami Trl	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5682 Tuscola Blvd	open
KFC Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	14912 Tamiami Trl	open
Kumo Japanese Steakhouse & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	17945 Tamiami Trl	open
La Rocca Italian Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	Near Wellen Park, 12500 S Tamiami Trl	open
LI Bros Stone Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14919 Tamiami Trl	open
Linksters Tap Room	Bar	British / Irish pub food	4371 Aidan Ln	open
Little Brooklyn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13635 Tamiami Trl	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	14830 Tamiami Trl	open
Marlowe's Bbq & Smoked Meat Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	13001 Tamiami Trl	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1013 Front Place	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14805 Tamiami Trl	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	5668 Tuscola Blvd	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	6001 S Salford Blvd	open
My Trucking Tacos	Food truck	Mexican	14803a S Tamiami Trl	open
Nokomis Groves	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12735 Tamiami Trl S	open
North Port Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	13672 S Tamiami Trl	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	17297 S Tamiami Trail	open
Oldies Pub	Bar		12560 US-41	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	17899 Tamiami Trail	open
Papa John's North Port Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	14959 Tamiami Trl	open
Perkins at 6001 S. Salford Blvd North Port, FL Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6001 S. Salford Blvd	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	6001 S Salford Blvd	open
Pink Fire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13001 Tamiami Trl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	14942 Tamiami Trail Sarasota	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	14920 Tamiami Trail	open
Premier European Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	European · American	13655 S Tamiami Trl	open
Puerto Rican Spice Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	12765 S Tamiami Trl	open
Qbc Service Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4979 Trott Cir Unit 101	open
Que Dulce	Dessert	Dessert	13616 Tamiami Trl	open
Que Rico Colombian Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas	13648 Tamiami Trl	open
Rice House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	14287 S Tamiami Trl	open
Salt & Siren	Bakery	Bakery	2181 S Biscayne Dr	open
Scotty's Pub	Bar		14530 Tamiami Trl	open
Sergeant’s Cuban Express	Food truck		5601 Tuscola Blvd	open
Sharks Fish House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	14595 Tamiami Trl	open
Sharkys on the Pier Venice Fl.	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Smithers Business Investments Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1433 S Sumter Blvd	open
Solorzanos Pizzeria North Fork Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13001 Tamiami Trl	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	17739 S Tamiami Trl	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1433 S Sumter Blvd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14959 Tamiami Trl	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17000 Tamiami Trial	open
SushiOo Thai and Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	14415 S Tamiami Trl	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4998 Centerview Lane	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4998 Centerview Lane	open
Tamiami Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14914 Tamiami Trl	open
The All Star Sports Bar	Bar		14000 Tamiami Trl	open
The Magician's Forge	Café	Coffee	14375 Tamiami Trl	open
The Q Too Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14293 S Tamiami Trl	open
The Shiver Shack Take 2 - Ice Cream & Hawaiian Sno- Cones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1401 S Sumter Blvd	open
The Taco Stop	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14290 Tamiami Trail	open
Toasty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14876 S Tamiami Trl	open
Top-The Green Main Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5301 Heron Creek Blvd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	17419 Tamiami Trail	open
Vice Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5686 Tuscola Blvd	open
Vics Pizza And Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14919 Tamiami Trl	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1100 S Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	17000 Tamiami Trl	open
Wendy's	Quick service		15021 Tamiami Trl	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1291 S Sumter Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	17179 S Tamiami Trl	open
Zio's Twelve 21 Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1221 S Sumter Blvd	open
Blue Craft Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	1181 S Sumter Blvd # 335	closed
Sunshine Juice Bar & Produce Llc	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	14942 Tamiami Trl Ste L	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	13	9	3	6	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	9	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	24	19	10	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	23	19	8	11	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	9	10	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	28	25	11	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	26	24	10	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	29	26	12	13	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	30	28	13	14	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	30	28	13	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	31	29	15	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	33	29	15	11	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	37	34	20	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	34	32	18	10	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	37	35	19	13	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	41	40	20	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	43	42	22	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	38	18	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	39	19	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	45	20	21	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	45	19	22	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	48	47	17	25	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34287. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34291	4.6 mi	4	2023
33953	4.6 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.