BMIE Market 34101

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	40 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	Data source not yet connected
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	2.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	2 2011 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2011 detail (NAICS2007) · by USPS ZIP 34101
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2,000.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2011, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2011, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2016	2 (range 1–3) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1999–2011 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	1 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34101. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1999–2011, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	1.1	1	40%	+0.7
Market Momentum Score	94.6	95	25%	+36.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 1 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	0	1	40%	+0.6
Households (ACS)	0	1	20%	+0.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Market Momentum Score: 95 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+60.0
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+34.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (1)

By cuisine

Breakfast 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Udo's Deli at Lawson Rock	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Breakfast	Lawson Rock Condominiums	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34101. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34113	3.0 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.