BMIE Market 34113

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,772 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,520 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±867 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,971 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,683 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$480,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34113
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+466.7% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 34–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34113. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.8	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	74.0	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,056	86	40%	+34.4
Median household income (ACS)	81,674	64	40%	+25.7
Households (ACS)	11,520	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	26,056	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	81,674	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.3	71	50%	+35.7
10-year restaurant growth	36	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	88.9	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

American 15 · Seafood 9 · Italian 8 · Mexican 7 · Latin American (other) 6 · Burgers 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Brazilian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · French 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 15 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 13 · Café 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allan's Snackbar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hot dogs	60D Rattlesnake Hammock	open
Alvino's Pizzeria & Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8793 Tamiami Trl E Ste 205	open
Amigo's Cafe	Café	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee	11263 Tamiami Trl E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	12651 Tamiami Trl E	open
Burgerfi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12712 Tamiami Trl E	open
Capri Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	203 Capri Blvd	open
Capri Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Carole's Place Cafè & French Bakery	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	European · Coffee · French	8793 Tamiami Trl E, Ste 105-1	open
Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	12631 Tamiami Trl E	open
Cheeky Tiki	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11498 Tamiami Trl E	open
Chilakil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11225 Tamiami Trl E	open
Clubhouse Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9323 Treviso Bay Blvd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5102 Tamiami Trail East	open
Delicias Michoacanas	Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	4913 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
DiJulios Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5422 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5494 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9995 Tamiami Trl E	open
El Tapatio Mexican Restaurant Naples	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11157 Tamiami Trl E	open
Empire Bagel Factory	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	9995 Tamiami Trl E	open
Erin?s Isle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast · American · Seafood · British / Irish pub food	5375 Hibiscus Dr	open
Erins North Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5375 Hibiscus Dr	open
Eurasia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese · Italian	8793 Tamiami Trl E	open
Fleming's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Seafood	8793 Tamiami Trl E	open
Frankie's Authentic Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	8795 Tamiami Trl E #205	open
Garibaldi	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11510 Tamiami Trl E	open
Gatsby's Pizza To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11554 Tamiami Trl E	open
Hoot's Breakfast and Lunch	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	12676 Tamiami Trl E	open
Hot Dogs 2 Go	Quick service	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	11466 Tamiami Trail E	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	189 Tahiti St	open
Inas Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11518 Tamiami Trl E	open
Island Gypsy Cafe & Marina Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	292 Capri Blvd	open
Jandon Of Collier Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5422 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5040 Tamiami Trail East Suite 200	open
Kava Culture Kava Bar Kava Culture - North Ft. Myers	Bar		8801 Tamiami Trl E	open
Keewaydin Island Favorite Food Boat	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	12001 Keewaydin Is	open
La Familia Mexican Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8795 Tamiami Trl E	open
La Piscina Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
La Sorpresa Latina Cuban Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	8793 Tamiami Trl E Ste 101	open
Let's Eat Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	12684 Tamiami Trl E	open
Lima Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other)	5047 Tamiami Trl E	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4911 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12615 Tamiami Trl E	open
Michoacana Ice Cream 🍭🍦	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11520 Tamiami Trl E	open
Mini Brunch Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5498 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
Naples Tiki Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		11498 Tamiami Trl E	open
Osteria Capri	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	387 Capri Blvd	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9975 Triangle Blvd	open
Overlook Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5570 Tobago Blvd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	12720 Tamiami Trl E	open
Pelican Bend	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	219 Capri Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	12695 Tamiami Trl E	open
Rush Bowls Rush Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	12450 Tamiami Trl E	open
Saki Japanese Kitchen ll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4903 Tamiami Trl E	open
Sam Snead's Tavern at Lely Resort	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American · Seafood	8004 Lely Resort Blvd	open
Scoops Ice Cream & Acai Bowls	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9995 Tamiami Trl E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12620 Tamiami Trl E	open
Taqueria El Puesto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11466 Tamiami Trl E	open
The Bean Trolley Cafe	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	11576 Tamiami Trl E	open
The Dog House	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		City Gate	open
The R's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11518 Tamiami Trl E	open
Ti-kreyol Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		11500 Tamiami Trl E	open
Tiki Hut of Naples	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		11273 Tamiami Trl E	open
Timber Creek	Casual dining · Bar	American	415 Augusta Blvd	open
Tortilleria La Rancherita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5474 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7723 Collier Blvd	open
Trulucks Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	218 Kon Tiki Dr	open
Uooligan Gas Station	Food truck		11163 Tamiami Trl E	open
Val'z Bites On Wheels	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian	11163 Tamiami Trl E	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11560 Tamiami Trail E	open
Z's Music Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12655 Tamiami Trl E	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	12663 Tamiami Trl E	open
Blue Heron Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	387 Capri Blvd # 8613	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	16	12	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	21	20	13	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	11	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	10	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	22	21	13	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	26	25	15	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	26	26	17	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	24	15	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	16	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	26	23	16	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	29	26	19	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	26	24	18	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	27	25	20	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	32	31	24	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	29	20	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	27	19	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	32	20	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	30	19	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	31	20	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	31	21	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	31	20	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	38	36	22	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	34	20	11	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34113. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34101	3.0 mi	2	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.