BMIE Market 34105
Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±464 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,693 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $92,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 62.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,170 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±193 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $594,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,761 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34105 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +10.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,000.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34105. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.2 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.7 | 74 | 35% | +25.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 77.8 | 78 | 25% | +19.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,441 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,214 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,889 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,441 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,214 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 10.5 | 68 | 50% | +34.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 250 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (26)
By cuisine
American 7 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5082 Airport Pulling Rd N | open |
| Bear's Paw Country Club | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 410 Charleswood Ln | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5088 Airport Pulling Rd N | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6565 Dudley Dr | open |
| Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 13020 Livingston Rd Ste 6 | open |
| First Watch - Marquesa Center First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 13030 Livingston Road | open |
| Five Guys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 13020 Livingston Rd. | open |
| Golden Gate Parkway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Middle Eastern | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6631 Dudley Dr | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | 5088 Airport-Pulling Road | open | |
| Kraft Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3555 Kraft Rd | open |
| Martin Fierro Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Steakhouse | 13040 Livingston Rd | open |
| Napoli On The Bay V | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13020 Livingston Rd Apt 6 | open |
| Oahu Fresh Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea | Hawaiian / Pacific · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 13040 Livingston Rd | open |
| Organically Twisted | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 13040 Livingston Rd #10 | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6631 Dudley Dr | open | |
| PDQ Naples - Carillon Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5088 Airport Pulling Rd N | open |
| Perkins American Food Co. | Bakery | Bakery | 5215 Old Gallows Way | open |
| Pizza 239 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13020 Livingston Rd | open |
| Senor Tequila's Mexican Grill Señor Tequila's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 13040 Livingston Rd | open |
| Slicers Hoagies | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 13040 Livingston Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2180 Airport Pulling Rd N | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 5319 Pine Ridge Rd | open |
| Takos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chinese · Latin American (other) | 5036 Airport-Pulling Rd N | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5016 Airport Pulling Rd. N. | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 6531 Dudley Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |