BMIE Market 34116

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,423 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,005 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$430,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34116
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+2.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+550.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 39–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34116. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.1	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	49.7	50	25%	+12.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,591	92	40%	+36.8
Median household income (ACS)	73,958	54	40%	+21.4
Households (ACS)	10,254	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	2.6	48	35%	+16.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.0	69	25%	+17.2
Population (ACS)	35,591	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	73,958	54	20%	+10.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	2.6	48	30%	+14.4
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

Latin American (other) 16 · Mexican 14 · Pizza 12 · American 9 · Coffee 6 · Cuban 6 · Caribbean 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Peruvian 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 64 · Quick service 17 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aji Limon Peruvian Kitchen Aji Limon Ceviche y Carbon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	11985 Collier Blvd	open
Antojitos Y Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4981 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Antonia's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11681 Collier Blvd	open
Bamboo Bar	Bar		12215 Collier Blvd	open
Best Of Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	12425 Collier Blvd Ste 108	open
Brasas Steakhouse & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Cuban · Brazilian	11681 Collier Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5055 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Cerquera Bar & Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12215 Collier Blvd	open
Chef Sebastian Mazzotta - Private Dining and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6230 Napa Woods Way	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12975 Collier Blvd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4891 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Costa Verde	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other)	4859 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Country Grill T&T	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Latin American (other)	1886 40th Terrace SW	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4895 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4800 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	11655 Collier Blvd	open
Eight Ball	Bar		12275 Collier Blvd Ste 12	open
El Catrin Sport Bar	Bar		12275 Collier Blvd	open
El Faro Tropical	Food truck			open
El Morro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Eldorado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4300 Atoll Ct	open
Fast Super Envios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12555 Collier Blvd	open
Fitzgeralds Sand Bar	Quick service		4100 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Flamingo Mini-Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Floridita Cuban Bakery Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	11689 Collier Blvd	open
Forgetaboudit Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1914 55th St SW	open
Friendly & Amigo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	12275 Collier Blvd	open
Golden Grove Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	12035 Collier Blvd	open
Havana Libre Cuban Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other)	4881 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2168 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Il Primo Pizza and Wings IL Primo Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5248 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
J1m Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4990 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Joey Ds Italian Restaurant-golden Gate	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12975 Collier Blvd	open
Judy's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12215 Collier Blvd #9	open
Kava Culture Golden Gate Kava Culture - North Ft. Myers	Bar · Café	Coffee	12975 Collier Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12225 Collier Blvd	open
Koki Restaurant Naples	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	Golden Gate, 2432 Lucerne Rd	open
La Hispana Cafeteria	Café	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Coffee	1802 40th Terrace SW #3	open
La Michoacana USA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Pizza · Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	12435 Collier Blvd Ste 101	open
La Rancherita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	4970 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
La Sierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
La Sierra Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Latino Americana and More	Café	Coffee · Latin American (other)	12425 Collier Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4870 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12975 Collier Blvd Ste 103	open
Lucky Dawgs 2	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	12435 Collier Blvd	open
Lucy's taste of Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1901 55th Ter SW	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11985 Collier Blvd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		4704 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12055 Collier Blvd	open
Mexicanisimo's snack	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	12275 Collier Blvd	open
Mi Casita Matancera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	4881 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Mi Tierra Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	12215 Collier Blvd	open
Ming Dynasty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12555 Collier Blvd	open
Molcajetes Golden Gate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	12275 Collier Blvd	open
Nana's Diner Nana's	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Nana's Diner	Casual dining	American	12285 Collier Blvd	open
New Level's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		4963 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4885 golden gate pkwy	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4990 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Papouche Restaurant and Bar 12275 Collier Blvd 34116 Naples Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	12275 Collier Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4971 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12045 Collier Blvd	open
Pizzas Cubanas Pinarenas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Pizza · Latin American (other)	12435 Collier Blvd Ste 101	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	4895 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Pollo Tropical Pollo Tropical	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5065 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Pollos Kiky Rotisserie Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	4859 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11899 Collier Blvd	open
Rancho Grande Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4859 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Restaurante Latinoamerica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Peruvian · Mexican	11693 Collier Blvd	open
Restaurante Rincon Hondureño	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1886 40th Ter SW	open
S W Hunan Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Santa Barbara Cafe	Buffet		5570 19th Ct Sw Ste 1	open
Sawgrass Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11865 Collier Blvd	open
Senor Tequila's Mexican Grill Señor Tequila's	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11965 Collier Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5555 Golden Gate Parkway Unit 113	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	8835 Davis Blvd	open
Taqueria Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	12215 Collier Blvd	open
The R’s Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	11985 Collier Blvd Ste 1	open
The Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5555 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
The Tiki Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4100 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Tony's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4967 Golden Gate Pkwy	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4060 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Pho Dai Loc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	11985 Collier Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	20	18	8	9	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	23	20	8	11	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	23	21	9	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	24	12	11	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	24	10	14	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	27	25	7	16	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	33	31	10	17	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	29	28	13	13	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	31	30	16	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	27	26	11	15	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	28	28	11	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	29	12	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	31	31	12	19	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	36	36	16	20	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	39	38	16	21	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	39	38	14	22	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	40	38	16	20	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	42	38	15	21	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	42	40	15	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	41	39	13	23	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	46	45	19	22	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	42	19	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	42	42	18	20	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	39	39	17	18	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	39	16	20	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34116. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34104	3.3 mi	54	2023
34105	3.3 mi	21	2023
34109	4.8 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.