BMIE Market 34201
Manatee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,733 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,814 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±203 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,682 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,271 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $124,863 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 68.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,747 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $670,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34201 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 65.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +357.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 27–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34201. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.9 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.5 | 56 | 35% | +19.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.5 | 52 | 25% | +13.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,733 | 56 | 40% | +22.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 124,863 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,814 | 59 | 20% | +11.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 85.7 | 5 | 25% | +1.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,733 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 124,863 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.9 | 22 | 50% | +11.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 30% | +22.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 357.1 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
American 12 · Healthy / salads / bowls 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Seafood 4 · Dessert 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Mexican 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 14 · Bakery 7 · Quick service 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Fast casual 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Maria Oyster Bar Anna Maria Oyster Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 5405 University Pkwy Unit 110 | open |
| Anna's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8207 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Apollonia Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 8235 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Bamboo Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8105 Cooper Creek Blvd | open | |
| Bellacino's Pizza and Grinders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5419 University Pkwy | open |
| Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8101 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 5235 University Parkway | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings University Pkwy Sarasota, Fl Buffalo Wild Wings - Hoffman Estates, IL | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| Cantina Toscana Sarasota Fl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 8203 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Carmel's Cafe & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 8433 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 5425 University Pkwy | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5489 University Pkwy | open |
| Chinese Parter Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8194 Tourist Center Dr | open | |
| Clean Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 5215 University Pkwy Unit 104 | open |
| Clubhouse Cigar & Bar | Bar | 5275 University Pkwy #115 | open | |
| Crop Juice Utc | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 8211 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Daily Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8491 Cooper Creek Blvd Suite 107 | open |
| DimSum King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8194 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Ding Tea Utc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 5231 University Pkwy Unit 105 | open |
| Far East Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8419 Honore Ave | open | |
| Fast N Fresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 8105 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| First Watch Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8027 Cooper Creek Blvd | open | |
| Fitlife Foods Fitlife Foods | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5275 University Pkwy | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8435 Cooper Creek Blvd. | open |
| Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar | Bar | 8306 Tourist Center Dr. | open | |
| Fresh Kitchen Fresh Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 8491 Cooper Creek Blvd #101 | open |
| Gigi's Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 8435 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Jason's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5231 University Pkwy Unit 101 | open |
| Jersey Girl Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 5275 University Parkway, unit #103 | open |
| Jersey Girl Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 5275 University Pkwy Unit 103 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8210 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 5405 University Pkwy #104 | open |
| Kelly's Roast Beef Sarasota | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5407 University Pkwy | open | |
| Kumo Japanese Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5231 University Pkwy | open | |
| Lee Roy Selmon's Glory Days Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8253 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Let's Eat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8445 Honore Ave | open | |
| Lindsey's Boutique, Llc Dba Scout & Molly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5275 University Pkwy Unit 132 | open | |
| Louis Pappas Fresh Greek Louis Pappas Fresh Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 8512 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Mademoiselle Paris Mademoiselle Paris - French Restaurant And Bakery | Bakery | French · European · Bakery | 8527 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Maduro Cigar & Bar University | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5275 University Pkwy | open | |
| Maemi On University | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 8196 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Mama G’s UTC | Bakery | Bakery | 8211 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Maple Street Biscuit Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 8491 Cooper Creek Blvd Ste 107 | open |
| Mission BBQ MISSION BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 5231 University Pkwy #109 | open |
| Mister O1 Extraordinary Pizza UTC Mister O1 Extraordinary Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5231 University Pkwy suite 111 | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 8192 Tourist Center Drive | open |
| Newk's Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5405 University Pkwy Unit 110 | open |
| Oak & Stone Oak & Stone Cutting Boards | Casual dining · Bar | 5405 University Pkwy Unit 101 | open | |
| Origin Craft Beer and Pizza Cafe Origin Craft Beer & Pizza Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Coffee | 8193 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Pascone's Ristorante' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Seafood | 5239 University Pkwy | open |
| Pei Wei Asian Kitchen Pei Wei | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 8511 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Pita's Republic | Other | Sandwiches | 8215 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Poppo's Taqueria Poppo's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8471 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Post Kitchen and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8433 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Pure Green - Juice Bar UTC Pure Green | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5275 University Pkwy suite 130 | open |
| Raining Berries - UTC Sarasota Raining Berries | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Coffee · Brazilian | 8512 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Red Elephant Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5231 University Pkwy | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8523 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Rita’s of University Park FL Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8306 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Scullers Draft House | Bar | 8217 Tourist Center Dr | open | |
| Smilefin Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 8196 Tourist Center Dr | open |
| Sprinkles Sarasota | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 8519 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Square 1 Burgers & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5239 University Pkwy | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5485 University Pkwy | open |
| Stonewood Grill & Tavern Stonewood Grill & Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 5415 University Pkwy | open |
| Sweet Tomatoes | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian | 5407 University Pkwy | open |
| Tandoor Fine Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 8447 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Thai Seed | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5215 University Pkwy | open |
| Tijuana Flats Tijuana Flats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 5215 University Pkwy #106 | open |
| Tom+Chee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5231 University Pkwy | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 8477 Cooper Creek Boulevard | open |
| Urban Flats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8235 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Valentino Pizzeria Trattoria Valentino Pizzeria Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8203 Cooper Creek Blvd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8220 Tourist Center Road | open |
| World of Beer | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 8217 Tourist Center Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 37 | 35 | 18 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 34 | 20 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2022 |