BMIE Market 34235
Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,146 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,080 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,640 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $78,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,514 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 58.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $370,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34235 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 11 (range 6–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34235. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 71.0 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.7 | 57 | 35% | +19.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 14.4 | 14 | 25% | +3.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,146 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,958 | 61 | 40% | +24.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,166 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 35% | +5.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.6 | 93 | 25% | +23.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,146 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,958 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -36.4 | 8 | 50% | +3.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 30% | +5.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (33)
By cuisine
Coffee 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Cuban 2 · Peruvian 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 7 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Café 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Natives 3Natives | Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 309 N Cattlemen Rd Unit 6 | open |
| 57 Tavern | Bar | 3355 17th St | open | |
| Barra Cevichera Peruvian Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3572 17th St | open | |
| Bitia's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3436 17th St | open |
| Casimiros Fast Food Sarasota | Quick service | 3301 17th St | open | |
| Clubhouse | Bar | 5696 Bentgrass Dr | open | |
| Crepetopia | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Dessert | 4921 Ringwood Meadow | open |
| El Cubanito | Café | Coffee · Pizza · Cuban | Key Food, 3301 17th St | open |
| El Rancho de Sarasota | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 3572 17th St | open |
| Fat Daddio's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3251 17th St #160 | open |
| Food Service Solution, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1756 N Honore Ave | open | |
| Foxtail Coffee Foxtail Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 315 N Cattlemen Rd | open |
| Foxtail Coffee UTC Sarasota | Coffee shop | Coffee | 315 N Cattlemen Rd Unit 6 | open |
| Ganges Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 5013 Ringwood Meadow | open |
| Golden Daisy Cafe | Café | Coffee | 5045 Ringwood Mdw | open |
| Hookah Lounge Marrakech | Bar | 3462 17th St | open | |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 3251 17th St | open |
| La llenura del Rey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3250 Desoto Rd | open |
| Lucky Dolphin Internet | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1724 N Honore Ave | open |
| Maemi on 17th | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3460 17th St | open |
| Mama G's Bakeries | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | open | |
| Nunn Better BBQ And Catering Llc | Food truck · Bar | BBQ | 3242 17th St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3251 17th St | open |
| Popi's Place Popi's Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3232 17th St | open |
| Relax Tiki Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 3273 Maple Hammock Dr | open | |
| Rice Box Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1780 N Honore Ave | open |
| Rincon Cubano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 1756 N Honore Ave | open |
| Sarasota Eatz | Food truck | 5473 Capitan Ave | open | |
| Sarasota Sports Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3920 Omega Ln | open | |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 3251 17th St | open |
| Tanjia Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1780 N Honore Ave | open | |
| Yohalis Insurance Agency | Quick service · Food truck | 3301 17th St | open | |
| Meadows Village Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 5013 Ringwood Mdw | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 12 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 12 | 11 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 11 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 14 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |