BMIE Market 34234
Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,477 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,939 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $57,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $255,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34234 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +23.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +31.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -8.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34234. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 60.4 | 60 | 40% | +24.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.7 | 62 | 35% | +21.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 68.4 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,986 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 57,288 | 25 | 40% | +10.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,203 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.1 | 76 | 25% | +18.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,986 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 57,288 | 25 | 20% | +5.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 23.5 | 80 | 50% | +39.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 30% | +18.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 31.3 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 13 · Bakery 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Seafood 5 · Caribbean 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cuban 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Quick service 11 · Café 10 · Casual dining 10 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Catering 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio's Pizza Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3700 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open |
| Bahi Hut | Bar | 4675 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| Becky's Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 2953 N Links Ave | open |
| Bodegon Criollo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 1617 Desoto Rd | open |
| By Patrik Pettersson at Kompose | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 965 University Pkwy | open |
| C&D's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1900 N Washington Blvd | open |
| Cafe of the Arts | Café | Coffee | 5119 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Charlie’s Taqueria | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1900 Washington Blvd N | open | |
| Chef Fin’s Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1723 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Way | open | |
| Coco Ribs Inc | Quick service | 5420 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open | |
| community family restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1919 Dr Martin Luther King Way | open |
| Crabbers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4195 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Create Bakery And Gifts, Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 1979 Northgate Blvd | open |
| Ding Tea Sarasota | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | Sarasota Ave, Sarasota, FL 34234, United States | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1400 Dr. Martin Luther King Way | open |
| Drum Circle Distilling | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2212 Industrial Blvd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 2525 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| EJ’s Soul Food | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3005 Leon Ave | open |
| El Gran Cambio | Café · Quick service | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 3056 17th St | open |
| Flamingo Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 3906 Bay Shore Rd | open |
| Flemming's Prime Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1165 47th St | open |
| Fork And Hen On Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2801 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| Frank's Fish & Crab Supreme | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 2025 Dr Martin Luther King Way | open |
| Fuzzy55 Jamaican & International Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1770 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Glenn Family Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1979 Northgate Blvd | open |
| Golden Star | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1770 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Growler's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 2831 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| Guadalupe Caribbean & Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | open | |
| Hob Nob Drive In Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1701 N Washington Blvd | open |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3333 N Tamiami Trl #250B | open |
| J&L BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1512 Dr Martin Luther King Way | open |
| Jamaican American Soul Food Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2025 Doctor Martin Luther King Way | open |
| Jannies Amman | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 1400 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Way | open |
| K Bistro Sarasota | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 965 University Pkwy | open | |
| Kasa Sushi Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 4195 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| La Sabrosita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3070 17th St | open |
| Leaf & Lentil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 2801 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Maine Sue LLC | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 1864 Dr Martin Luther King Way Ste #5 | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4301 N Washington Blvd | open |
| Memories Lounge | Bar | 3428 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| Metz Culinary Management | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 1540 Northgate Blvd | open | |
| Mirna's Cuban Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 2901 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| mymamma | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3105 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Olive Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 2801 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Osprey One Stop Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2745 N Osprey Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3080 17th st | open |
| Paramo Café & Restaurant | Café | Latin American (other) · Coffee | 3700 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open |
| Perry's Original Roadside BBQ & Catering | Catering | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 936 42nd St | open |
| Pisano's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1617 Desoto Rd | open |
| Rico's Pizzeria & Pasta House Rico's Pizzeria & Pasta House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5131 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Rolling Green Golf Village | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2591 Golf Course Dr | open | |
| Rolling Green Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 4501 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| RONC of North Tamiami | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 3141 N TAMIAMI TRL | open |
| S&t Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5445 N Washington Blvd | open | |
| Sarasota Moose 1319 | Bar | 1761 17 th st w | open | |
| Seafood Supreme | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 1919 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Way | open |
| Shapp's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 1979 Northgate Blvd | open |
| Siesta Pops | Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Dessert · Coffee | 4515 Northgate Ct | open |
| SRQ Cigars | Bar | 2815 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| SRQ GRILL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4900 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2455 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Stroke's Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 2745 N Osprey Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1777 N. Tamiami Trail | open |
| Sunnyside Cafe | Café | Coffee · German / Eastern European · Breakfast | 4900 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Sweet Pea Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2745 N Osprey Ave | open | |
| Tacos La Casita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3605 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open |
| Tacos “El Tío Jr.” | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3138 17th St | open |
| Taqueria Aguascalientes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2271 N Washington Blvd | open | |
| The Cachito Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 3105 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| The Coffee Loft | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5025 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| The CONCH Fritter KING | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2736 N Osprey Ave | open |
| The George | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 5131 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| THE GREEN BEAN COFFEE | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 3521 Old Bradenton Rd | open |
| Townhall Restaurant & Lounge | Bar | 1970 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Way | open | |
| Two Chef's Casual Dining | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European · American | 1617 Desoto Rd | open |
| Ups Sarasota | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1932 17th St | open | |
| Victoria`s Hong Kong Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3232 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3500 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Walt's Fish Market & Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 4144 Tamiami Trl | open |
| Wendy's Yummy Kitchen | Quick service | American | 1775 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Way | open |
| Wired Whisk Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 936 42nd St | open |
| Wonderland Vapors | Bar | 5133 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| World Bites Kafe | Café | Coffee | 2805 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Yokuji Asian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1770 N Tamiami Trail | open | |
| YOUNG and CREATIVE café | Café | Coffee | 4900 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Yummy House Yummy House China Bistro - Tampa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3232 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Zach's Diner | Quick service | 4900 N Tamiami Trl | open | |
| Antojitos Cuban Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3232 N Tamiami Trl | closed | |
| Carr's Corner Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3025 N Tamiami Trl | closed | |
| Paleo Connection | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 3515 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | closed |
| Restaurant Lupita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2025 Dr Martin Luther King Way | closed | |
| Ringling Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2700 N Tamiami Trl | closed | |
| Taqueria Las Aguilas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1702 N Washington Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 19 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 18 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 19 | 12 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |