BMIE Market 34237
Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,069 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±454 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,304 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,120 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $66,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,873 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $264,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34237 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 10–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34237. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 64.3 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.7 | 51 | 35% | +17.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.0 | 52 | 25% | +13.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,367 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,762 | 42 | 40% | +16.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,124 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.6 | 78 | 25% | +19.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,367 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,762 | 42 | 20% | +8.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
American 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Sushi 3 · Chinese 2 · Cuban 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 10 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Food truck 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12th St. Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2594 12th St | open |
| 5 Forks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3482 17th St | open |
| Amore Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean | 180 N Lime Ave | open |
| Angel’s Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2594 12th St | open |
| Antoine's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · European | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| Antojitos La Michoacana | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other) · Dessert | open | |
| Armando's Cocina Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2385 12th St | open |
| B Concept Usa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 N Tuttle Ave Unit 10 | open | |
| Bacalao Restaurant and Sports Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas · Cuban | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| Bavaro's Pizza Napoletana & Pastaria Bavaro's Pizza Napoletana & Pastaria - St. Pete | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 27 Fletcher Ave | open |
| Boombacha Kombucha | Brewery / taproom · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2257 6th St | open |
| C & D's Sandwich Shop | Food truck | Sandwiches | open | |
| Cafe in the Park | Other | Sandwiches | 2010 Adams Ln | open |
| Cakes by Ron | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3520 Fruitville Rd | open |
| Charlie's Steak & Hoagie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 2854 Ringling Blvd | open |
| China One China One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 130 Lime Ave | open |
| Colombian Bean Co. | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 100 Wallace Ave #360 | open |
| Corner Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 2309 12th St | open |
| Court Thirteen | Bar | 2050 Adams Ln | open | |
| DAN APIZZ’ MAN New Haven-Style Pizza truck | Food truck | Pizza · Italian | 1215 Mango Ave | open |
| Del Posto Lounge | Bar | 27 Fletcher Ave | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 1100 N Tuttle Avenue #9 | open |
| El Patio Latino Peruvian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | Grand Slam Plaza, 1100 N Tuttle Ave Unit 5 | open |
| Fiveo Doughnut Co | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2170 Main St | open |
| Fresh Mozzarella Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2289 Ringling Blvd | open |
| Hamlet's Eatery | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian | 821 Apricot Ave | open |
| Herbalife Club de Nutricion | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2485 15th St | open |
| Jager Tavern & Grill | Bar | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open | |
| Jdub's Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 1215 Mango Ave | open | |
| Kay's Barbeque Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1660 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open | |
| Law & Order Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 2000 Main St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2866 Ringling Blvd | open |
| Mama Mandy's Soft Pretzels | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 1108 Kaufman Ave | open | |
| Mariscos Azteca Mexican Seafood Restaurant Azteca Mexican Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 1100 N Tuttle Ave #8 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3511 Fruitville Rd | open |
| Mi Bodeguita One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) | 2870 Ringling Blvd | open |
| Naranjos Cafe Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3318 Cheshire Ln | open |
| Paradise Alley Blues Bar & Grill | Bar | 2385 12th St | open | |
| Rally's | Quick service | 2101 Ringling Blvd | open | |
| Rendezvous Lounge | Bar | 1570 N Lockwood Ridge Rd | open | |
| Ringling Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2267 Ringling Boulevard\n\n\n | open |
| Ringling Pizza and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2289 Ringling Blvd | open |
| SaraFresh Juice | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2589 Novus St | open | |
| Shamrock Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 2257 Ringling Blvd | open |
| Siam Gulf Sarasota | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Thai · Sushi · Asian | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| Silver Star Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 180 N Lime Ave | open |
| Simply Sweets SRQ | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Browning St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1100 N Tuttle Ave Unit #18 | open |
| Sun King Sarasota | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1215 Mango Ave | open | |
| Sunshine Goods, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2831 Ringling Blvd | open | |
| The Maple Leaf | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2211 Fruitville Rd | open |
| The Vanshea Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 2556 10th St | open | |
| Uncle Phils Organic Popcorn Shop And General Store | Other · Dessert | Dessert | 1320 N East Ave | open |
| Uncle Wen's China Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1100 N Tuttle Ave | open |
| Vermonti Cannoli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 2260 Ringling Blvd | open |
| World of Beer | Bar | open | ||
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2031 Bay St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 501 N Beneva Rd | open |
| Angers Garden Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 243 N Lime Ave | closed |
| Checkers | Quick service | 2101 Ringling Blvd | closed | |
| Kay's Bbq & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2385 12th St | closed |
| Levoie's Salads | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2241 Ringling Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 18 | 7 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |