BMIE Market 34209
Manatee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 33,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,978 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±631 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 31,816 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 17,475 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 58.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $390,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,481 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34209 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +87.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +45.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +114.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 49 (range 42–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34209. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.7 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76.9 | 77 | 35% | +26.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.4 | 79 | 25% | +19.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 33,224 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,728 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,978 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.5 | 58 | 25% | +14.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 33,224 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,728 | 64 | 20% | +12.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 30% | +26.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 45.2 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 15 · Pizza 10 · Asian 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Italian 5 · BBQ 4 · Seafood 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 20 · Café 13 · Dessert 10 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Specialty food shop 5 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agrigento Pizzeria Caffe | Café | Pizza · Italian · Coffee | 5227 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Avnest Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6409 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Basil's Flame Broiled Chicken & Ribs Basil's Flame Broiled ChickenRibs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · BBQ · American | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Baskin-robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5605 Manatee Ave W | open |
| BatchCrafters Bottling | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 4501 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Bb Legends Adventures Inc Dba Incahoots Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Beer Joint, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5600 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Bella Mia Pizza & Italian Restaurant Michelangelo Pizzeria & Cucina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Boiler Room Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5600 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Brancato's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5227 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Breadsmith of Bradenton Breadsmith | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 6425 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Brothers Bagels Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5909 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Cancun Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 5120 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Castello Di Napoli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza · American | 7467 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4311 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 6016 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Coast Seafood Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 5629 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Coco Joe's Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert | 5120 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Coconut Culture Frozen Desserts | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5917 Manatee Ave W Ste 501 | open |
| Cremesh Coffee and Bakery | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1822 59th St W | open |
| Danny's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7220 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Del Taco | Quick service | 5610 Manatee Avenue | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 4507 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 5601 Manatee Ave W | open |
| enRich Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · European | 5239 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6783 Manatee Ave. W | open |
| Floridays Woodfire Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Seafood | 12332 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Flying Pig Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5718 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| French, Carol | Bar · Casual dining | 1511 89th St NW | open | |
| Ghost St Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6724 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Gillians Cafe Blake Medical | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Golden Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Habaneros Bradenton | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5120 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Habaneros Mexican Grill Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5120 Manatee Ave W Ste A | open | |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 4211 59th St W | open |
| Hungry Parrot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5718 Manatee Ave W | open |
| In Cahoots | Bar | 5917 Manatee Ave W #509 | open | |
| Island Donut Company | Café · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 305, 5917 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Jamaica Breeze Restaurant and Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Seafood | 420 67th St W | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6737 Manatee Ave West | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 5300 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Joey D's Chicago Style Eatery Joey D's Chicago Style Eatery & Pizzeria Bradenton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6401 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Lalo’s Café | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6724 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Lava Nutrition | Café | Coffee | 7457 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Manatee Avenue Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5104 Manatee Ave W | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6708 Manatee Ave W | open |
| MilkShake Factory Palma Sola MilkShake Factory | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7230 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Mitaka Japanese Ramen House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6749 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Modern Chop Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1830 59th St W | open |
| Olympic Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 6408 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery | 6351 Manatee Ave | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6600 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Pigout BBQ and Southern Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5718 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6383 Manatee Ave W Manatee | open |
| Popis Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · European · American | 6409 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Poppo's Taqueria Poppo's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6777 Manatee Ave W | open |
| ReVive Nutrition Bradenton | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5917 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Reyna Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6006 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Richey's Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 4710 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Rocketman Korean BBQ | Food truck | American · BBQ | 5718 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Rodney's Jamaican Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean | 420 67th St W | open |
| Salem's Gyros & Subs | Quick service | 5605 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Sandy Grounds Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 2020 59th St W | open |
| Sapporo Sushi Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7224 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Savor Sweets Bakerie | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6015 7th Ave Dr W | open |
| Shanghai Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7226 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Siam Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5763 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3816 Manatee Ave. W. | open |
| Space Fries | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6783 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7350 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7493 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5783 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Stone Bowl Pan Asian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5516 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7461 Manatee Ave West | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5016 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Suncoast Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 3602 67th St W | open | |
| Sweet Krunch - Bradenton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5605 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Sweetberries Frozen Custard and Eatery | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 4500 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 5410 Manatee Ave | open |
| Tequila Beach Sport Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7423 Manatee Ave W | open |
| ThaiCafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 4511 Manatee Ave W | open |
| The Bradenton boiler room | Casual dining · Bar | 5600 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| The Lashy Lounge | Bar | 75th Street and Cortez | open | |
| The Oasis | Bar | 6006 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Tommasino's On 59th | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1830 59th St W | open |
| Tylers Ice Cream & Yogurt SP | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 8007 11th Ave NW | open |
| Uncle Nick's N.Y. Style Bagels, Subs & Deli | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee · Burgers | 5917 Manatee Ave W Ste 301 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5420 Manatee Avenue | open |
| Woodson Brothers Seafood Grll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7423 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| Yummyhibachiasian | Food truck | 6724 Manatee Ave W | open | |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7310 Manatee Ave W | open |
| Cremesh European Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7232 Manatee Ave W | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 22 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 30 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 32 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 19 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 36 | 13 | 21 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 16 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 31 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 37 | 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 50 | 43 | 18 | 21 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 45 | 19 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |