BMIE Market 34217

Manatee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±187 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,007 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,032 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	69.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,688 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$657,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75,739 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34217
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	47.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 27–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34217. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60	60	40%	+24.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.7	47	35%	+16.3
Market Momentum Score	41.6	42	25%	+10.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,676	56	40%	+22.2
Median household income (ACS)	80,972	63	40%	+25.4
Households (ACS)	2,151	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.5	62	35%	+21.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	87.1	5	25%	+1.2
Population (ACS)	3,676	56	20%	+11.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,972	63	20%	+12.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.0	24	50%	+12.2
10-year restaurant growth	18.5	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (117)

By cuisine

Coffee 21 · American 19 · Seafood 17 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 10 · Dessert 9 · Italian 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · French 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Indian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 69 · Bar 29 · Café 16 · Casual dining 16 · Dessert 14 · Coffee shop 11 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adam Ellis Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Bridge St	open
Anchor Inn	Bar		3007 Gulf Dr	open
Anna Maria Bake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Gulf Dr N	open
Anna Maria Island Beach Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4000 Gulf Dr	open
Anna Maria Island Coffee Shack	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	5500 Marina Dr	open
Anna Maria Island Frozen Yogurt & Acai	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	5604B Marina Dr	open
Anna Maria Island Lodge N0.2188, Loyal Order Of Moose, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Gulf Dr S	open
Anna Maria Oyster Bar on the Pier Anna Maria Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	200 Bridge St	open
Anna Marie Island Tiki Bar	Bar · Casual dining			open
Back Alley Treasures	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	108 Bridge St	open
Bamboo Beach Bar	Bar	American	2650 Gulf Dr S	open
Bamboo Island Bar	Bar		119 Bridge St	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3302 E Bay Dr	open
BEACH BISTRO	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	6600 Gulf Dr	open
Beach House Restaurant, Anna Maria Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Seafood · Coffee		open
Beach House Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	200 Gulf Dr N	open
Blue Marlin Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	121 Bridge St	open
Blueberries Cafe & Wine	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	5337 Gulf Dr #300	open
Breakfast at Victoria’s AMI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	5315 Gulf Dr	open
Bridge Tender Inn	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	135 Bridge St	open
Cafe on the Beach	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	2200 Gulf Dr N	open
Captain Logan Bystrom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8025 Marina Isles Ln	open
Charlies On The Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5904 Marina Dr	open
China 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3236 E Bay Dr	open
Coco Coastal Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	5400 Marina Dr	open
Columbia, St Armand's Circle Columbia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		66th St	open
Coquina Beach Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	2650 Gulf Dr S	open
Crust & Q	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5910 Marina Dr	open
Cupcake Delights AMI	Other · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Sandwiches · Coffee · Dessert	3324 E Bay Dr	open
D Coy Ducks Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		5410 Marina Dr	open
D. Coy Ducks Bar & Grille, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5353 Gulf Dr	open
Daiquiri Deck Daiquiri Deck	Casual dining · Bar		107 Bridge St	open
Dockside Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	135 Bridge St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5606 Marina Drive	open
Double Deez Chicago Style Hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	3009 Gulf Dr N	open
Drift-In AMI	Bar		120 Bridge St	open
Drift-In Liquors	Bar		120 Bridge St	open
Duffy's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	5808 Marina Dr	open
Eat Here	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5315 Gulf Dr	open
Eliza Ann's Coastal Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5325 Marina Dr	open
Freckled Fin Irish Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	5337 Gulf Dr	open
Freckled Fin Partners L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5337 Gulf Dr	open
French Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	103 Gulf Dr N	open
Frosty Oasis	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5602 Marina Dr Unit C	open
Fudge Factory	Dessert	Dessert	117 Bridge St	open
Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	5904 Marina Dr	open
Gelato-go Anna Maria Island Gelato-go Miami Beach	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	119 Bridge St	open
Get The Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	103 Gulf Dr N	open
Gianfranco And Alessandra Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5904 Marina Dr	open
Graze Street Ami	Café	Coffee	3218 E Bay Dr	open
Gulf Drive Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	900 Gulf Dr N	open
Holy Cow Ice Cream & Other Cool Stuff	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3234 E Bay Dr	open
Island Coffee Haus Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	5350 Gulf Dr	open
Island Grill Ami	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5910 Marina Dr	open
Island Scoops	Bakery · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	103B Gulf Dr N	open
Island Time Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	111 Gulf Dr S	open
Isola Bella Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	5904 Marina Dr	open
Joe's Eats & Sweets	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	219 Gulf Dr S	open
Kiwi Style Fish and Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · British / Irish pub food	3608 E Bay Dr	open
Koko And Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Gulf Dr N	open
La Creperie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French	3216 E Bay Dr	open
Lets Do This Beaches Lp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5346 Gulf Dr	open
Los Chiludos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3232 E Bay Dr	open
Maestro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Bridge St	open
Minnie's Beach Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	5360 Gulf Dr	open
Mr Bones Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3007 Gulf Dr	open
Nautilus Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	402 Church Ave	open
Ocean Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Chinese	3608 East Bay Dr	open
Old Hamburg Schnitzelhaus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	3246 E Bay Dr	open
Oma's Pizza and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	201 Gulf Dr N	open
Pane e Amore Italian Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	119 Bridge St	open
Paradise Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3210 E Bay Dr	open
Pink Coney Club Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	5306 Holmes Blvd,ste 810	open
Pizzano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Italian	5318 Marina Dr	open
Pm Last Call Inc.	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5346 Gulf Dr	open
Rod and Reel Pier	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3246 E Bay Dr	open
Rotten Ralph's	Bar	Seafood · American	200 Bridge St	open
SALT Bar & Table	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2519 Gulf Dr N	open
Scott's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	6000 Marina Dr	open
Sharky's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2519 Gulf Dr N	open
Skinny's Place	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	3901 Gulf Dr	open
Small Town Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5404 Marina Dr	open
Smoqehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	1701 Gulf Dr N	open
Solo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3244 E Bay Dr	open
Speaks Clam Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5337 Gulf Dr	open
Sports Lounge	Bar		118 Bridge St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3232 E Bay Dr	open
Sweat Pea’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5350 Gulf Dr	open
Sweet Mac’s	Dessert		1800 Gulf Dr N	open
T-Bone's Famous	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	103 Gulf Dr N	open
Tahini Beach Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Gulf Dr N	open
Teriyaki Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3248 E Bay Dr	open
The Doctor's Garden	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	5312 Holmes Blvd	open
The Doctor's Office	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5312 Holmes Blvd	open
The Feast Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood	5406 Marina Dr	open
The Freckled Fin	Bar		101 Bridge St	open
The Island Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3608 E Bay Dr	open
The Island Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1701 Gulf Dr N	open
the jo coffee co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1701 Gulf Dr N	open
The Laughing Flamingo Cafe	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	119 Bridge St	open
The Pink Chicken AMI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	212 81st St	open
The Sand Box	Bar		3012 Avenue E	open
The Shady Lounge	Bar			open
The Ugly Grouper	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	5704 Marina Dr	open
Toasted Mango Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	E Bay Drive, 3240 Holmes	open
Tommy Knockers	Bar · Casual dining		111 7th St N	open
Topsail Steamer Topsail Steamer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5321 Gulf Dr	open
Tropical Cravings	Dessert	Dessert	2650 Gulf Dr S	open
Vinny's Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	5337 Gulf Dr	open
Walgreen’s Liquor	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3200 E Bay Dr	open
Wicked Cantina Bradenton Beach Wicked Cantina Bradenton Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	101 7th St N	open
Wicked Taco Cantin Wicked Cantina Bradenton Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	101 7th St S	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3900 E Bay Dr	open
Barefoot Tiki Bar & Cafe	Café	Coffee	5704 Marina Dr	closed
Cast And Cage Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Bridge St	closed
Havana Cabana	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5904 Marina Dr	closed
Peach's Restaurants - Holmes Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3240 E Bay Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	24	20	14	3	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	11	4	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	22	19	13	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	26	21	13	5	3	5	NAICS1997
2002	27	23	18	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	27	24	17	5	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	27	25	18	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	24	22	14	5	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	24	22	14	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	22	14	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	27	25	16	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	24	22	13	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	26	24	15	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	26	22	14	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	30	26	18	5	3	4	NAICS2012
2013	30	27	19	5	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	28	25	17	5	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	31	27	17	7	3	4	NAICS2012
2016	27	23	16	4	3	4	NAICS2012
2017	35	31	19	7	5	4	NAICS2017
2018	37	33	21	7	5	4	NAICS2017
2019	33	29	17	7	5	4	NAICS2017
2020	31	26	16	5	5	5	NAICS2017
2021	34	27	14	8	5	6	NAICS2017
2022	40	32	17	10	5	7	NAICS2022
2023	39	32	19	8	5	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34217. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34215	1.7 mi	6	2023
34209	3.2 mi	45	2023
34216	3.5 mi	23	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.