BMIE Market 34211
Manatee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,980 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,618 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 2,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,298 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $119,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,962 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,291 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $654,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,947 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 34.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34211 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +209.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +385.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,033.3% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 37–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.8 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 100 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34211. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.2 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84.4 | 84 | 35% | +29.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 99.6 | 100 | 25% | +24.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,980 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,911 | 90 | 40% | +36.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,618 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 385.7 | 100 | 35% | +34.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,980 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,911 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 100 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 209.1 | 100 | 50% | +62.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 385.7 | 100 | 30% | +37.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (48)
By cuisine
Pizza 7 · American 6 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 12 · Quick service 10 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Car Garage Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3115 Lakewood Ranch Blvd Ste 110 | open | |
| Acapulco Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1833 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Alcohol Detection Systems Ignition Interlock | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7905 34th Ave E | open | |
| ATRIA Cafe | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Pizza · Bakery | 4120 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Bahama Bar at Esplanade Lakewood Ranch CC | Bar | American | 12951 Malachite Dr | open |
| Big Top Brewers Collective | Brewery / taproom | 2507 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open | |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 5920 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Bode Bread Co. | Bakery | Bakery | 17940 Cropside Trl | open |
| Boys & Girls Club of America | Bar | 1767 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open | |
| Bradenton Commanders Fan Club Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1795 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Carousel's Franchise Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5103 Lena Rd Unit 112 | open | |
| Cleveland Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 2539 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 13020 SR 64 East | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 2551 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Elks Lodge 2855 | Bar | 4908 Lena Rd | open | |
| Fiorelli Winery & Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4250 Co Rd 675 | open | |
| Inner Compass Brewing Company at LWR | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 10316 Technology Terrace | open | |
| Jelzz Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4112 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open | |
| Joe's Fresh Roast | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5828 Lorraine Rd | open |
| Lakewood Ranch Beef O'Brady's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1795 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Loaded Cannon Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3115 Lakewood Ranch Blvd Ste 110 | open | |
| Marina's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1723 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Marinas Pizza Pasta Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1723 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | 16670 Fl-64 | open | |
| Mizu Sushi and Hibachi Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1859 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Old Salty Dog | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4951 Lorraine Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1779 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| PDQ Bradenton | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 5484 Lena Rd | open |
| Pino's Pizza Pasta & Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1837 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4144 Lakewood Ranch Blvd Manatee | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 14315 State Road 70 E | open | |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1731 Lakewood Ranch Blvd., Lakewood Ranch Gateway Shopping Center | open |
| Rita’s of Bradenton FL Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Rusty's Tropical Cigar Lounge South | Bar | open | ||
| Sip n Brew, LLC | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6514 Rosehill Farm Run | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4112 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1755 Lakewood Ranch Blvd Unit No.3 | open |
| Suncoast Food & Wine Fest | Winery / distillery / taproom | 5895 Post Blvd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 15215 Garnet Trl | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 8347 SR 64 East | open |
| Tampa Bay Rollers, Inc. | Bar | 5495 Lena Rd | open | |
| Taste of China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1783 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| The Granary | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2547 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Wicked Awesome Ice Cream | Bar · Brewery / taproom | 4100 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open | |
| Wicked Awesome Ice Cream Emporium | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4122 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Wolves Head Pizza & Wings | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 1837 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| Zenobia Mediterranean & Kebab Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 1857 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1755 Lakewood Ranch Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |