BMIE Market 34275
Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,528 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±669 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $89,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 64.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $473,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 25.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34275 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +17.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +145.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 25–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34275. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.0 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76.0 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.9 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,436 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 89,369 | 73 | 40% | +29.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,528 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.0 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,436 | 83 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 89,369 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 17.4 | 75 | 50% | +37.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 145.5 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 10 · Italian 9 · Coffee 8 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Japanese 4 · Breakfast 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Seafood 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 10 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 'wiches - Fast - Fresh - Local / Grab-n-go! | Other | Sandwiches | 303 Tamiami Trl S | open |
| 500 Degrees Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3479 Precision Dr | open |
| Amherst Hospitality Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103 Triple Diamond Blvd | open | |
| Anita's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 441 Tamiami Trl S | open |
| Asaro's Of Venice Pizzeria Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2454 Laurel Rd E | open |
| Back Porch Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 3469 Precision Dr | open | |
| Bayside Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 918 Tamiami Trl S | open |
| Bella Rimini Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 625 N Tamiami Trl Ste D | open |
| Big Kahunas Shaved Ice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2221 Lakewood Dr | open |
| Briandi's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 202 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1270 N. Tamiami Trail | open |
| Cafe De Soleil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 801 Tamiami Trl S | open | |
| Cafe Evergreen | Café | Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 801 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| Captain Eddie's Seafood Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | Seafood | 107 Colonia Ln E | open |
| Chaz 51 Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Steakhouse · Sandwiches | 103 Triple Diamond Blvd Ste 2 | open |
| China King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2450 Laurel Rd E | open |
| Coffee Campus | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 201 Triple Diamond Blvd | open |
| Cool Breeze Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1070 Laurel Rd E | open |
| Cucina Gloria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Seafood · Pizza | 625 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Dockside Store | Food truck | 100 Circuit Rd | open | |
| Driftage Llc Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 112 Circuit Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1240 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Eager Welcome | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 9 Samuel Adams Rd | open |
| Eggs-traordinary Breakfast & Lunch Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 2282 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Fogon llanero | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 716 Albee Rd W | open |
| Funky Fresh Boba Tea Co. | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 265 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| Gabriella Chocolates & Confections | Dessert | Dessert | 3449 Technology Dr Unit 103 | open |
| Giglio Development Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3479 Precision Dr Ste 110 | open | |
| Giuseppe's Ristorante & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 103 Triple Diamond Blvd | open |
| Harbor House Supply Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 920 Tamiami Trl S | open | |
| Hibachi Express Nokomis Hibachi Express New Port Richey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1095 N Tamiami Trl Ste a | open |
| HTeaO Nokomis - Albee Rd & W. Tamiami HTeaO | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 200 Albee Rd W | open |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 1085 North Tamiami Trail | open |
| Island Fin Poke Company Island Fin Poké Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 997 N Tamiami Trl Unit a | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | 2470 Laurel Rd E | open | |
| Kckey Food Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 716 Albee Rd W | open | |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 107 Montecito St | open | |
| M&M BBQ and Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American · African | 780 Dedication Ct | open |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 229 Tamiami Trl S | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Quick service | 229 Tamiami Trl | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2480 Laurel Rd E | open |
| Mirabella's Coastal Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2300 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| New China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1083 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Nokomis Groves Ice Cream Stand | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 111 Albee Farm Rd S | open |
| Nokomo's Sunset Hut | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 690 Tamiami Trl S | open | |
| Ophelia's Pasta House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1099 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Paradise Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1097 Tamiami Trl N | open | |
| Paya Thai Curry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 920 Tamiami Trail | open |
| Pelican Alley Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1009 Albee Rd W | open |
| Pop's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 820 Albee Rd W | open |
| Richie's N.y. Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 625 Tamiami Trl N Ste D | open |
| Salt Water Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1071 Tamiami Trl N | open | |
| Shark Tooth Beach Concessions Nokomis Beach | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 208 S Casey Key Rd | open |
| Snowbird Content | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3449 Technology Dr Unit 309 | open | |
| Sofrito Food Truck | Food truck | 1011 Tamiami Trl S | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1183 N Tamiami Trl | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3479 Precision Dr Ste 1 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 997 Tamiami Trl N Ste D | open |
| Sugar Boba x Pho | Juice, smoothie, tea | Vietnamese · Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 920 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| Sweet Melissa's Ice Cream Shop | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 720 Albee Rd W | open |
| Taqueria y frutería la mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 918 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| The Breakfast Cottage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2301 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| The Mating Manatee Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | Mazari Lane | open | |
| Unofficial: Mojodockside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Circuit Dr | open | |
| Urbanek's Fish Company And Res | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 112 Circuit Rd | open | |
| Waterfrontoo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Steakhouse · American | 2205 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 201 Serano Way | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 105 N. Tamiami Trail | open |
| Yo Daddio! Barbecue | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 1011 S Tamiami Trail | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2438 Laurel Rd E | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Bakery | Japanese · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 1091 Tamiami Trl N | open |
| Corvettes Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1073 Tamiami Trl N | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |